Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdafa13f65e44844a0e7f412b6a844e34f44258572c36b4844415109e87eb4bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 57c | 14,371$8,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,179.33 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 43c | 3,323$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 2,994$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.03 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 1,114$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.64 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 44c | 803.77$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 31c | 797.02$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.28 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 56c | 752.55$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.12 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 79c | 634.33$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 43c | 592$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.56 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 44c | 566.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 43c | 460$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Over | 59c | 421.88$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 411.78$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 43c | 349.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 314.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.17 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 21c | 304.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 301.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 59c | 299.11$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 43c | 260$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 43c | 260$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 242.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 76c | 225.51$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 43c | 156$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 43c | 156$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 41c | 146$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 56c | 130.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 43c | 121.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 116$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Under | 44c | 112.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 57c | 108.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 68.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under | 43c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 51c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…c13bbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 72c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: Toronto FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.