Mls · resolved market
Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaf2acf28283d2036e23e1b4af62f5795b9ec376a1998b7c368aab657b644d78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 35c | 12,339$4,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,033.49 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 1,644$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.72 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Under | 7c | 1,318$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 65c | 700$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 65c | 592$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.8 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 512.35$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.77 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 35c | 509.49$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.26 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 482.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.68 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 65c | 460$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 65c | 437$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.38 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 65c | 331$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 39c | 299.83$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.87 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 65c | 260$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 65c | 260$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 19c | 213.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 34c | 200.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.31 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 65c | 196.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 65c | 192$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 65c | 192$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 43c | 161.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 65c | 156$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 65c | 156$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 65c | 140$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 58c | 135.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 131.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa80f…4fa0backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 66c | 84.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 65c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 33c | 58.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 67c | 54.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 52c | 49.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Under | 64c | 38.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 62c | 38.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…82bcbacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 67c | 19.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 65c | 18.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 65c | 17.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Over | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)Toronto FC won
- Spread: Toronto FC (-1.5)Charlotte FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.