Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Little Rock Trojans vs. Lindenwood Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdca9fd0cce179a211c7b6276a42fcf90af6f5412f76030a67425645a57a2580
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Little Rock Trojansof Little Rock Trojans, Lindenwood Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ef…eec9backed Little Rock Trojans | 32c | 10,006$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,795.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Lindenwood Lions | 25c | 4,063$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lindenwood Lions | 62c | 3,834$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lindenwood Lions | 70c | 2,741$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.85 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lindenwood Lions | 17c | 1,216$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.26 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Lindenwood Lions | 26c | 1,068$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.61 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Little Rock Trojans | 31c | 1,016$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.99 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Little Rock Trojans | 80c | 1,007$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.48 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Lindenwood Lions | 72c | 839$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.93 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lindenwood Lions | 36c | 709$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.86 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 590$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.36 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Lindenwood Lions | 9c | 481.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Little Rock Trojans | 75c | 390.75$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Lindenwood Lions | 44c | 262.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Lindenwood Lions | 12c | 232$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lindenwood Lions | 69c | 204$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Lindenwood Lions | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Little Rock Trojans | 29c | 134$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Lindenwood Lions | 26c | 119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Little Rock Trojans | 29c | 117.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Little Rock Trojans | 70c | 113.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Little Rock Trojans | 60c | 111$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lindenwood Lions | 26c | 108.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Little Rock Trojans | 66c | 106.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Little Rock Trojans | 28c | 89.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Lindenwood Lions | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Little Rock Trojans | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Little Rock Trojans | 57c | 75.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Lindenwood Lions | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…e9f8backed Lindenwood Lions | 22c | 67.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Little Rock Trojans | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Lindenwood Lions | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Lindenwood Lions | 26c | 41.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Lindenwood Lions | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lindenwood Lions | 73c | 31.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Little Rock Trojans | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Lindenwood Lions | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Little Rock Trojans vs. Lindenwood Lionsthis page
- Little Rock Trojans vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 147.5Over won
- Little Rock Trojans vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 148.5Over won
- Little Rock Trojans vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Lindenwood Lions (-6.5)Little Rock Trojans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.