CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe0104fdab7a6f0f9289bb8cd004d45a36357dcb8f09e4047332f3ec0ea859cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Game Huntersof Game Hunters, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25c2…7458backed ALKA | 15c | 2,372$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.68 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Game Hunters | 74c | 1,655$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.19 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Game Hunters | 73c | 1,625$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.57 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Game Hunters | 66c | 1,262$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.29 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ALKA | 34c | 1,115$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.54 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ALKA | 33c | 917.64$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.86 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Game Hunters | 61c | 676.87$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.25 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed ALKA | 33c | 541.05$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.03 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ALKA | 31c | 453.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Game Hunters | 75c | 386.21$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Game Hunters | 67c | 352.41$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Game Hunters | 75c | 338.63$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked ALKA | 18c | 311.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Game Hunters | 60c | 293.69$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf3…7513backed ALKA | 39c | 287.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ALKA | 13c | 285.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ALKA | 30c | 268.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed ALKA | 8c | 262.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 143 | 22.4%32 W · 111 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed ALKA | 39c | 249.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ALKA | 28c | 246.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Game Hunters | 72c | 231.93$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…02febacked ALKA | 10c | 209.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ALKA | 39c | 206.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ALKA | 33c | 203.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Game Hunters | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Game Hunters | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Game Hunters | 66c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed ALKA | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Game Hunters | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ALKA | 33c | 196.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ALKA | 27c | 172$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ALKA | 33c | 159$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Game Hunters | 75c | 154.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Game Hunters | 73c | 153.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ALKA | 32c | 121$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ALKA | 39c | 112$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked ALKA | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Game Hunters | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked ALKA | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed ALKA | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed ALKA | 17c | 95.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Game Hunters | 64c | 84.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…0968backed ALKA | 27c | 73.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ALKA | 32c | 70.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALKA | 50c | 68.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Game Hunters | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ALKA | 25c | 66.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…a270backed ALKA | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Game Hunters | 64c | 50.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Game Hunters | 77c | 50.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ALKA | 32c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Game Hunters | 66c | 42.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…1f59backed Game Hunters | 71c | 35.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ALKA | 31c | 34.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Game Hunters | 72c | 25.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Game Hunters | 74c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…cfbfbacked Game Hunters | 72c | 16.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Game Hunters | 71c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ALKA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageGame Hunters won
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
- Map Handicap: GH (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)ALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.