Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Essex
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf30591fefca63e34bd9123e463e91e527c52685453cdaf2cd16973704549cff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Essexof Surrey, Essex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Essex | 73c | 8,372$6,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.36 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Surrey | 34c | 7,855$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.6 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb480…92b9backed Surrey | 1c | 6,866$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +426.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Surrey | 38c | 6,545$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.57 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Essex | 61c | 5,505$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.09 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Surrey | 39c | 2,725$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.43 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Surrey | 45c | 1,990$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.38 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Essex | 37c | 1,892$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.87 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Essex | 39c | 1,712$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.94 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Essex | 37c | 1,464$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.18 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Surrey | 60c | 1,180$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…40d8backed Essex | 53c | 950.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.81 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked Essex | 39c | 851.62$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Essex | 59c | 797.59$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.5 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Surrey | 61c | 687$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.07 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…b914backed Essex | 62c | 527.47$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.71 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Surrey | 44c | 458.53$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.78 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…de2ebacked Surrey | 66c | 454.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0389…847bbacked Essex | 57c | 447.84$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.03 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed Surrey | 59c | 413.41$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.67 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Surrey | 38c | 397$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.49 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Surrey | 39c | 279.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Essex | 69c | 212.26$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…363cbacked Surrey | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Essex | 45c | 177.41$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Essex | 38c | 160$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Essex | 70c | 144.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Essex | 72c | 138.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Essex | 40c | 133.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Surrey | 27c | 128$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Essex | 80c | 125.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Surrey | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Essex | 48c | 120.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Surrey | 35c | 118$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Essex | 41c | 106.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Surrey | 27c | 103$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…27c8backed Surrey | 27c | 101.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Surrey | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b45fbacked Surrey | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Essex | 37c | 98.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…2bb3backed Essex | 49c | 94.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Essex | 32c | 92.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Essex | 50c | 92.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Surrey | 38c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Surrey | 58c | 86.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Essex | 74c | 84.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…f217backed Essex | 64c | 84.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Essex | 56c | 81.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8417…8a39backed Surrey | 35c | 77.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 194 | 27.3%53 W · 141 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Essex | 62c | 72.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Surrey | 60c | 66.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Essex | 35c | 66.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…d4ffbacked Surrey | 21c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Surrey | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…f4d0backed Essex | 36c | 49.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed Surrey | 53c | 47.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Essex | 43c | 46.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Essex | 27c | 46.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Essex | 42c | 45.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Surrey | 65c | 44.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Surrey | 60c | 44.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Essex | 34c | 43.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Surrey | 63c | 43.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Surrey | 62c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed Essex | 36c | 39.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed Essex | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Surrey | 52c | 35.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Essex | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Surrey | 52c | 34.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Surrey | 65c | 29.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Essex | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Surrey | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Surrey | 63c | 24.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Essex | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Surrey | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Surrey | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Surrey | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.