TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: GLYPH vs Execration (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GLYPHof GLYPH, Execration
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,310 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed Execration33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9947646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed GLYPH67c4,495$3,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.691369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Execration23c4,460$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.791,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Execration4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Execration39c1,750$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.4881029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Execration40c1,385$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.837945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked GLYPH76c1,240$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.260646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GLYPH61c1,020$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.282,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked GLYPH72c968.86$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.021,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked GLYPH62c951.66$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.331,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Execration34c742.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020827.9%58 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked GLYPH64c689$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8154058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Execration29c650.97$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9877941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Execration43c543.61$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked GLYPH77c508$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11779859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed GLYPH66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17032441.7%135 W · 189 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed GLYPH54c465.98$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2241455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked GLYPH55c450.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7553139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Execration38c384.21$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14729240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Execration56c375.63$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5452046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed GLYPH64c350.07$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.029565.3%62 W · 33 L+13.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Execration7c349.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.565625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Execration6c323.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911450.9%58 W · 56 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed GLYPH39c299.98$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9996245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked GLYPH41c293.99$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1170052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed GLYPH64c260.43$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9529466%194 W · 100 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Execration27c260$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked GLYPH67c247.76$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7626843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…dc5abacked Execration36c238.06$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked GLYPH66c237.34$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9456542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Execration35c228.85$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813023.3%7 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-47%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GLYPH59c212.75$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.661,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Execration32c210.84$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.212,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Execration14c207.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.91,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed Execration6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2524131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked GLYPH77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468846.6%41 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed GLYPH55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9092561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f31…a362backed GLYPH80c188.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0816558.2%96 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked GLYPH67c180.1$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.431764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked GLYPH67c169.09$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.385556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed GLYPH56c160.3$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5451550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1052…441bbacked GLYPH66c150.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.533754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked GLYPH65c144.44$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5126445.1%119 W · 145 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed GLYPH70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.866058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked GLYPH62c137.95$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4469033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed GLYPH62c135$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6535430.5%108 W · 246 L-27.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19b6…b7cdbacked Execration40c127.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.644151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb061…5b1cbacked GLYPH78c123.7$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.211855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Execration34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.840844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Execration63c107$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.414165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked GLYPH55c100.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0928336.4%103 W · 180 L+1.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Execration34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3437655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed GLYPH66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed GLYPH59c99.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.991,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed GLYPH66c91.91$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x115d…1691backed Execration19c78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9114244.4%63 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…08e7backed GLYPH59c77.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8438244.5%170 W · 212 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc376…6850backed GLYPH62c76.48$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.251030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Execration31c61.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1213346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Execration40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420738.6%80 W · 127 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed GLYPH67c58.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2213764.2%88 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked GLYPH73c55.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.313129.8%39 W · 92 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed GLYPH68c54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2850769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Execration23c53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1578516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Execration33c51.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed GLYPH67c51.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad6…c1c4backed Execration32c50.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.319326.9%25 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed GLYPH40c50.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.214030.7%43 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Execration62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked Execration62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Execration61c47.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6813733.6%46 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Execration44c45.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1573554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Execration46c43.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.983053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Execration45c41.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921344.1%94 W · 119 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed Execration36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154250%21 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed GLYPH61c39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.387844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6f…f414backed GLYPH61c38.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8bb…570bbacked GLYPH34c38.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.135945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked GLYPH77c38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7415536.1%56 W · 99 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Execration34c34.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.841,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Execration60c34.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7425349.4%125 W · 128 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked GLYPH67c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8917636.9%65 W · 111 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9235…3fbdbacked GLYPH65c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.515167.5%102 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…806dbacked GLYPH74c26.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.999358.1%54 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed GLYPH66c22.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.725047.6%119 W · 131 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd5a7…9215backed Execration62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed GLYPH67c17.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8552950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked GLYPH76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.610561%64 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.