Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Rīga FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc21012a459d19985cd5bb46411f20677ae6dc08c5d773ea3f08ec4bb3097215f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KÍof Rīga FC, KÍ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Rīga FC | 47c | 3,533$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.28 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed KÍ | 52c | 1,816$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.16 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Rīga FC | 46c | 1,604$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.01 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed KÍ | 53c | 1,466$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.5 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked KÍ | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed KÍ | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Rīga FC | 48c | 899.06$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.93 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Rīga FC | 48c | 894.35$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.69 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked KÍ | 52c | 885.01$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.97 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed KÍ | 52c | 843.38$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.17 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed KÍ | 53c | 582.62$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.83 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed KÍ | 51c | 435.02$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rīga FC | 49c | 354.56$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.06 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Rīga FC | 47c | 354$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked KÍ | 51c | 257.34$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked KÍ | 52c | 193.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Rīga FC | 49c | 147.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed KÍ | 52c | 132.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Rīga FC | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed KÍ | 53c | 78.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked KÍ | 53c | 77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 388 | 55.4%215 W · 173 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rīga FC | 48c | 76.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rīga FC | 51c | 71.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Rīga FC | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked KÍ | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Rīga FC | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KÍ | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Rīga FC | 51c | 40.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed KÍ | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Rīga FC | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed KÍ | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed KÍ | 52c | 30.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Rīga FC | 50c | 25.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KÍ | 54c | 24.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rīga FC (-1.5)this page
- Rīga FC vs. KÍ: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rīga FC vs. KÍ: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rīga FC vs. KÍ: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rīga FC vs. KÍ: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rīga FC vs. KÍ: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rīga FC vs. KÍ: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rīga FC vs. KÍ: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Rīga FC (-2.5)KÍ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.