Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc22ab161fa10f22f6c6e69465e180658a8f1412b4a29263d443ae748f6ea36a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 4c | 1,523$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 12c | 1,002$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…669ebacked No | 2c | 809.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 66 | 10.6%7 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 61c | 797.48$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.42 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae6…6dd3backed No | 2c | 606.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 79c | 564.05$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…527ebacked No | 20c | 448.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 65c | 290.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 32c | 274.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4464…b76dbacked Yes | 37c | 243.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.09 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 29c | 217.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed Yes | 62c | 208.63$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dc…0af0backed Yes | 32c | 190.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7926backed No | 18c | 190.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 51c | 185.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…06bebacked Yes | 35c | 181.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Yes | 56c | 171.53$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 16c | 153.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c51…7c37backed No | 8c | 149.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 76c | 148.03$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 136.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…337fbacked Yes | 31c | 134.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…ce99backed Yes | 31c | 134.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 104 | 27.9%29 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 53c | 134.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…0e27backed No | 73c | 133.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…9c23backed Yes | 44c | 132.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 25c | 131.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 20c | 126.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77d…7383backed No | 16c | 115.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e0…69e3backed Yes | 66c | 112.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…0859backed Yes | 43c | 109.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…dfb5backed Yes | 35c | 104.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 53c | 102.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 47c | 101.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…9f02backed Yes | 25c | 100.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…0c7ebacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…1719backed No | 71c | 99.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 30c | 99.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 54c | 98.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b85…7265backed No | 68c | 97.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 71c | 96.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 68c | 95.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 31c | 95.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…af6cbacked No | 53c | 95.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 22c | 80.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 28c | 67.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 28c | 65.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 28c | 64.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c38…d6a6backed Yes | 16c | 64.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…e01cbacked Yes | 22c | 64.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…f990backed No | 47c | 61.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…1d95backed No | 73c | 61.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a8cfbacked No | 79c | 58.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…8df6backed No | 44c | 55.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 54c | 54.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…8834backed No | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6f…da3bbacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e86…6ee4backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…f4dabacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2fadbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 120 | 68.3%82 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…b28abacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…debfbacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 27c | 46.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…e7b8backed Yes | 36c | 42.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 62c | 41.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 70c | 41.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…8ed1backed Yes | 71c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…4ac1backed No | 27c | 38.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…45efbacked Yes | 53c | 36.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 41c | 34.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 62c | 32.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 62c | 30.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 70c | 29.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked Yes | 56c | 28.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 321 | 47.4%152 W · 169 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…c74abacked Yes | 37c | 27.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029a…8039backed Yes | 54c | 26.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 54c | 26.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb0…c1d7backed Yes | 56c | 25.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 40c | 25.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…0f31backed Yes | 54c | 23.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 70c | 21.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…c294backed No | 48c | 20.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed No | 64c | 19.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 80c | 18.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…99d7backed No | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…c331backed Yes | 80c | 16.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…ace3backed No | 80c | 12.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.