TailMyPicks
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Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,619

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Under28c4,560$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,267.7832147%151 W · 170 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over70c4,211$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.571,21339.6%480 W · 733 L-44.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over67c4,000$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.991,11452.3%583 W · 531 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over68c3,474$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,374.4748549.9%242 W · 243 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under33c3,030$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.310561%64 W · 41 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5a3…9e12backed Under33c3,030$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.293860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under32c2,739$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.3150336.6%184 W · 319 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Over67c2,335$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.4565543.1%282 W · 373 L-28.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under52c2,311$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.6574541.1%306 W · 439 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under33c2,180$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.561,54854.8%849 W · 699 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over56c1,204$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.441,66643.9%732 W · 934 L-76.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67068043.1%293 W · 387 L-1.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over71c937.23$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.542,60839.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L-84.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over42c897.4$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.5416540%66 W · 99 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf8…27cfbacked Over70c802.87$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.171735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under40c794.33$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.51,48938.4%572 W · 917 L-44.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under32c726.28$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.1135250.3%177 W · 175 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Under44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.825837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Under31c651.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.2522857%130 W · 98 L+21.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Over66c558.34$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.6742333.8%143 W · 280 L-31.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over63c543.01$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.123234.9%81 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over67c470.4$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.1722544%99 W · 126 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050246.2%232 W · 270 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Over34c365.34$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9522744.9%102 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under33c354.69$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.642,20253.5%1,178 W · 1,024 L+63.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under33c354.69$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.641,20644.7%539 W · 667 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under44c347.92$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.513,06644.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L-97.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over68c334.12$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.27058.6%41 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under36c310$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.92,57247.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L-36.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6457…ed50backed Under28c306.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.561872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+43.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Under32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20412138%46 W · 75 L-13.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Over70c300$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6635559.7%212 W · 143 L-0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under32c266$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5214838.5%57 W · 91 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under28c243$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.962,27933%753 W · 1,526 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over30c241.93$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5839448%189 W · 205 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed Under64c210.69$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5242446.5%197 W · 227 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under38c205.8$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9260248.5%292 W · 310 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over68c200$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,49443.6%651 W · 843 L-31.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9021136%76 W · 135 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under32c199.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.996662.1%41 W · 25 L+9.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Over70c190$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.621,38347.4%655 W · 728 L-35.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Over63c189.77$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…202abacked Over59c175.8$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.727560%45 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked Over60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013152.7%69 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Under40c140$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8419253.1%102 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under32c136$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4818742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over31c126$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0682742.9%355 W · 472 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under32c120.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.227642%116 W · 160 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc2…698abacked Over63c111.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010641.5%44 W · 62 L-15.3wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over72c104.22$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7547348.2%228 W · 245 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under32c103.28$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.336844.6%164 W · 204 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacd…4d5abacked Over69c102.03$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708050%40 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f5…33d0backed Under28c101.31$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.944100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+113.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c19…4418backed Over71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.52842.9%12 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7d9f…0c25backed Under34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9933652.1%175 W · 161 L+32.0wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x11e8…fe6bbacked Over63c84.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.821838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over49c83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.672,74535.9%986 W · 1,759 L-155.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under31c76.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9965751.6%339 W · 318 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under33c74.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8917836%64 W · 114 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed Over67c71.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.183545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under65c71.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8899650.2%500 W · 496 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under29c70.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.822,08830.6%639 W · 1,449 L-176.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Under35c69.03$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81,07944.9%485 W · 594 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under27c66.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.818741.7%78 W · 109 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Over63c57$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9118531.9%59 W · 126 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over63c56.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7744137.2%164 W · 277 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over63c56.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.824535.5%87 W · 158 L-15.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under44c55.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.857754.5%42 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Under44c51.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.644242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under34c51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6659134.2%202 W · 389 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ea9…9248backed Over71c50.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367561.3%46 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e7…a7f4backed Over60c50.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.525967.6%175 W · 84 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5c…d463backed Over67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305862.1%36 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc0…e0bebacked Over67c44.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over67c43.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.136952.2%36 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb5b…62c7backed Over70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011850%59 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc124…bd0fbacked Over32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c3…f821backed Under40c39.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.697055.7%39 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ccc…8ababacked Over35c37.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under30c37.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51,39849.4%691 W · 707 L-20.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under32c33.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.357147.9%34 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8195…3fedbacked Over67c29.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.931172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+84.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb98…c6c5backed Over68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x913d…02bfbacked Over67c28.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1919863.6%126 W · 72 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over38c26.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.271,43131.2%446 W · 985 L-141.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.711851.7%61 W · 57 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x722f…c00fbacked Over67c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.06944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.