Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NIP (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x777f211f1c0c07d379e5e8c9055619516428497089e05a07fcd7cee14b6be82b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ninjas in Pyjamasof Ninjas in Pyjamas, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac23…a875backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 43c | 8,857$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035.63 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed EDward Gaming | 55c | 3,022$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.3 | 745 | 41.1%306 W · 439 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…cbd2backed EDward Gaming | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed EDward Gaming | 73c | 1,691$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.44 | 485 | 49.9%242 W · 243 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed EDward Gaming | 56c | 1,157$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.94 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed EDward Gaming | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 193 | 43%83 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…6b92backed EDward Gaming | 66c | 607.85$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 517$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.73 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed EDward Gaming | 74c | 407.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed EDward Gaming | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed EDward Gaming | 62c | 368.99$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.86 | 2,261 | 37.3%843 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 367.58$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.82 | 1,079 | 55%593 W · 486 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e12…ac2ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 28c | 359.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 828 | 33.1%274 W · 554 L | -42.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 26c | 292.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.5 | 923 | 51%471 W · 452 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed EDward Gaming | 73c | 254.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.14 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed EDward Gaming | 74c | 254.75$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.06 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed EDward Gaming | 63c | 249.55$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.05 | 2,572 | 47.2%1,215 W · 1,357 L | -36.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…202abacked EDward Gaming | 72c | 241.44$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.84 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 36c | 236.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 3,066 | 44.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L | -97.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 996 | 50.2%500 W · 496 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 28c | 166.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 1,666 | 43.9%732 W · 934 L | -76.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked EDward Gaming | 58c | 155.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 352 | 50.3%177 W · 175 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…ec35backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 142$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 37c | 134.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 522 | 47.3%247 W · 275 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 35c | 115.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 1,042 | 54.8%571 W · 471 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming | 43c | 113.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 2,608 | 39.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L | -84.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 47c | 111.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed EDward Gaming | 28c | 111.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed EDward Gaming | 74c | 107.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.45 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…52ddbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 449 | 48.8%219 W · 230 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 27c | 95.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +29.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…531bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 47c | 85.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed EDward Gaming | 70c | 84.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 1,398 | 49.4%691 W · 707 L | -20.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked EDward Gaming | 73c | 82.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 27c | 78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 634 | 46.4%294 W · 340 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 26c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 275 | 49.8%137 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…121cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 68c | 73.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed EDward Gaming | 56c | 66.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 1,489 | 38.4%572 W · 917 L | -44.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 933 | 42.8%399 W · 534 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 25c | 54.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 1,517 | 50.6%767 W · 750 L | +75.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 50.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked EDward Gaming | 75c | 46.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 243 | 45.3%110 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 27c | 37.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…8da8backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742b…110abacked EDward Gaming | 47c | 32.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…a007backed EDward Gaming | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked EDward Gaming | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 236 | 63.6%150 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…c00fbacked EDward Gaming | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…a82abacked EDward Gaming | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked EDward Gaming | 54c | 18.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed EDward Gaming | 70c | 17.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 657 | 51.6%339 W · 318 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NIP (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?EDward Gaming won
- Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.