Dota2 · resolved market
Vici Gaming to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3b4ddcf4ba8c3502a984b0053fd313187f705192097c133c1c6cde275c04c5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Yes | 24c | 4,136$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.35 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 80c | 1,238$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 47c | 1,211$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.95 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 53c | 590.1$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.67 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 44c | 578.86$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.95 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed No | 46c | 576.3$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.35 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed No | 63c | 471.84$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…9023backed Yes | 19c | 338.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Yes | 37c | 311.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 73c | 309.1$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.1 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 54c | 287.2$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 22c | 238.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.12 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…1a6fbacked No | 77c | 236.69$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 56c | 227.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked No | 78c | 211.89$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Yes | 23c | 211.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked Yes | 26c | 195.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked Yes | 57c | 176.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 169.79$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked No | 75c | 165$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed No | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Yes | 28c | 148.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 41c | 140.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…07e8backed Yes | 24c | 123.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 27c | 122.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Yes | 26c | 114.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 79c | 109.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…c91dbacked No | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Yes | 25c | 104.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Yes | 30c | 99.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 77c | 92.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed No | 72c | 88.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked No | 73c | 87.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 53c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bc…7714backed No | 44c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Yes | 53c | 66.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…ff0abacked Yes | 27c | 62.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Yes | 62c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No | 79c | 57.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed No | 44c | 55.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 73c | 51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed No | 37c | 50.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed No | 77c | 48.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed No | 75c | 33.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 73c | 33.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 54c | 33.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 78c | 25.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed No | 72c | 24.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 22.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 63c | 20.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b4…41b4backed Yes | 60c | 16.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vici Gaming to win 2-0?this page
- Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?No won
- Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.