Mls · resolved market
San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc597deb65d47034bb3875289e5e3d788bff23c4c0b6e20e6e7041057f6e2fb65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 44c | 110,799$48,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,666.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 56c | 12,857$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,657.14 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 12,396$6,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,559.49 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Under | 56c | 10,062$5,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,427.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 56c | 9,286$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,085.71 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 57c | 5,433$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 56c | 4,849$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.56 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 50c | 3,902$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.11 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 56c | 3,491$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.67 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 56c | 3,488$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.22 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 56c | 2,580$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.09 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 56c | 2,321$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 2,007$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.36 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 56c | 1,968$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.92 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 1,780$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.35 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 1,370$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.71 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.16 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 56c | 1,309$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 56c | 1,283$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.42 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 1,278$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.54 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 55c | 1,181$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.65 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 56c | 1,130$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 56c | 892.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.54 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…0ec9backed Under | 56c | 875$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.57 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 56c | 761.7$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 56c | 629.12$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.51 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 44c | 505.75$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.79 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 58c | 500.69$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.69 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Under | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 421.5$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 66c | 412.4$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.93 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 56c | 400.71$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.31 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…df7fbacked Under | 71c | 389.02$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 55c | 388.25$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.74 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 56c | 380.11$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 42c | 356.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 56c | 350$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…0bf5backed Over | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 50c | 337.42$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 324$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.05 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 314.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.77 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 44c | 297.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 56c | 295.05$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 49c | 294$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.61 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 42c | 286.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.34 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 259.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 40c | 249.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 42c | 230.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…5a4fbacked Over | 50c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 197.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Under | 56c | 191.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 190$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 60c | 180$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 56c | 175.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 56c | 153.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 56c | 149.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Under | 56c | 147.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Under | 56c | 147.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 56c | 133.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Over | 51c | 126.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 125.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 71c | 117.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 110.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 60c | 109.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Under | 56c | 108.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 53cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 106.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 56c | 105.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 56c | 103.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 102.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Under | 50c | 100.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 53c | 93.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 57c | 92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Under | 56c | 88.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 59c | 74.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 56c | 72.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…a4b4backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 56c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 59c | 66.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 57c | 65.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5this page
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.