TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Norway vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes3c40,000$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.8817034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes1c22,695$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9432031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes1c11,238$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4532029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes25c8,187$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.746839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No80c6,646$5,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.362,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes18c4,449$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.663,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No76c3,630$2,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7135549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c3,534$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.431,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No75c3,317$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.2441451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes24c3,200$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7681,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf35a…ce87backed Yes2c1,741$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes25c1,327$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.8342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed Yes2c937.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes25c753.93$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2210539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes14c611.6$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.098445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f11…7031backed Yes2c577.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes23c555.78$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.51,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11523729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa386…cb0fbacked No75c454.4$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.68345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No76c440.14$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4223940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3234…0284backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No77c412.32$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8335251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4550…f741backed Yes27c407.76$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes23c399.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9217235.5%61 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes15c379.82$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.872,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No75c366.01$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.565651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c334.57$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.833,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes25c329$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9493542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7222731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6935251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes7c274.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1351429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No77c272.49$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2223345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes24c270.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6539648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes13c255.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.214,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No75c248.24$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No76c203.06$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7455045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1770…9483backed Yes26c199.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes13c199$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.033429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes15c198.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3257541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes14c195$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6645039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509923.2%23 W · 76 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c178.92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8876…34c9backed Yes24c173.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.723718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No77c168.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7281554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No77c156$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8834851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes27c145$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6363035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes17c139.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8584738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No76c117.82$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2811448.2%55 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x475b…caf2backed Yes26c110$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.63016.7%5 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-60.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes25c104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2622836.4%83 W · 145 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2422746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2417162%106 W · 65 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ce0…d855backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2334351.9%178 W · 165 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4679…6578backed No73c99.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No74c99.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.956366.7%42 W · 21 L+7.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031543.5%137 W · 178 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb458…abc4backed Yes26c76.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203112.9%4 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes25c76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes24c72.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.263,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.081,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No73c65.45$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6718435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes25c64.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0425031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No76c57.88$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9984844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ef…dda9backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No75c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2534035%119 W · 221 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed No76c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9531553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5014…538ebacked Yes25c44.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.051540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104124.4%10 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No74c38.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1430751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No77c32.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4216758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.227745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd958…f975backed No76c28.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.691573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No75c27.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.941,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No76c27.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6350850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.753,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6737057.3%212 W · 158 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No74c23.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.051,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed No78c20.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.344847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No75c18.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6334438.4%132 W · 212 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No77c15.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4811755.6%65 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9423552.8%124 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e4…5583backed No75c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.52864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No76c13.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1986455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.