CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Walczaki (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc644cfa01d751bcb081b8179c410e0fdfac99753e1063c1459aeda3e33b02e28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Nuclear TigeRES, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Walczaki | 52c | 6,458$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.02 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 6,190$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.81 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 4,538$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.56 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 1,094$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.51 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…180ebacked Walczaki | 53c | 993.81$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.09 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Walczaki | 51c | 735.18$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.24 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked Walczaki | 54c | 727.01$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.42 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 43c | 646.67$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.41 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Walczaki | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Walczaki | 53c | 471.84$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.84 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed Walczaki | 51c | 455$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Walczaki | 60c | 436$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.23 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Walczaki | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 14c | 377$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Nuclear TigeRES | 21c | 374.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 325$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Walczaki | 53c | 320$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 286$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 24c | 267.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Walczaki | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Walczaki | 51c | 221.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Walczaki | 54c | 197$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Walczaki | 70c | 183.14$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Walczaki | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Walczaki | 57c | 177.37$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Walczaki | 54c | 164$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki | 73c | 162.86$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Walczaki | 71c | 141.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nuclear TigeRES | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 133.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Walczaki | 53c | 118.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Walczaki | 51c | 113.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Walczaki | 51c | 101.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Walczaki | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b67…e56cbacked Walczaki | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 98.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 96.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Walczaki | 57c | 87.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…f4e3backed Walczaki | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 70.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Walczaki | 68c | 64.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Walczaki | 53c | 61.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2661…6c28backed Walczaki | 53c | 59.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed Walczaki | 75c | 59.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki | 78c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 52.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked Walczaki | 55c | 52.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 29c | 48.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Walczaki | 55c | 45.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Walczaki | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Walczaki | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…aa31backed Walczaki | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Walczaki | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 37.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Walczaki | 52c | 35.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9fd8backed Walczaki | 51c | 35.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…67fdbacked Walczaki | 74c | 33.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Walczaki | 52c | 33.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nuclear TigeRES | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Walczaki | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Walczaki | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Walczaki | 73c | 25.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6194…eeb4backed Walczaki | 52c | 21.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Walczaki | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Walczaki | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…be06backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Walczaki | 76c | 17.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ed…1c75backed Walczaki | 68c | 17.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Walczaki (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.