Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc731bebea811f7a8e57c71ad13a9cee97f38c02d1fdcb8e1aa2f1ff17641f3ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed No | 41c | 29,431$12,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,058.01 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 58c | 12,379$7,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,208.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 61c | 12,170$7,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,746.28 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 40c | 9,720$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 6,731$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 60c | 4,665$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.89 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 25c | 3,811$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.62 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 53c | 3,581$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.9 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Yes | 58c | 3,121$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 3,005$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.66 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 39c | 2,656$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.86 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 71c | 1,764$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.37 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.24 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 42c | 1,621$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.08 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 3c | 762.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 57c | 733.8$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.56 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 549.98$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 42c | 503.11$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.74 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 58c | 485$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.17 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed No | 49c | 453.46$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 60c | 447$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.8 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…731abacked Yes | 60c | 445.08$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 60c | 408.33$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 25c | 399.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 46c | 396$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.04 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 57c | 391.26$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.86 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 59c | 376.47$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.38 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 59c | 339.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 16c | 321.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 42c | 277.53$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 274.95$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 60c | 260$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 42c | 227.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed No | 42c | 213.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 44c | 200.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 177$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 42c | 166.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 52c | 144.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 48c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 17c | 98.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 45c | 97.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f42bbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 49c | 91.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 45c | 87.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 58c | 85.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 46c | 76.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 63c | 55.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…1ca6backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 61c | 53.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 60c | 51.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 60c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482e…2c02backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 53c | 45.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 61c | 38.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Yes | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 52c | 35.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 61c | 34.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 61c | 34.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Yes | 57c | 31.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…f4adbacked No | 43c | 30.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 60c | 30.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes | 53c | 29.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe771…a76abacked Yes | 61c | 28.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 61c | 28.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 43c | 28.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 58c | 25.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…f512backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…42debacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 53c | 20.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF end in a draw?No won
- Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.