Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7d9eda37283f31ab134ced1afcc4ac8fb358878a935eef38e1bef73f0fdd663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ccd…2cc2backed Yes | 55c | 502.79$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 43c | 441.02$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.83 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 54c | 408.24$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 45c | 359.28$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.87 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…6171backed Yes | 50c | 317.36$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.11 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 45c | 263.67$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.78 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 55c | 233.51$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 48c | 213.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 53c | 210.15$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3b…3a20backed Yes | 26c | 199.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 53c | 173.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed No | 74c | 172.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 48c | 157.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 39c | 129.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 52c | 122.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…db0ebacked Yes | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 58c | 111.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 46c | 108.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed No | 64c | 108$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 104.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…1d37backed Yes | 51c | 104.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 48c | 102.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 55c | 95.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked No | 54c | 92.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 48c | 85.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 52c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 62c | 76.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 51c | 71.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 19c | 70.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 56c | 69.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 47c | 67.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 46c | 66.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 29c | 65.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x375b…0ebbbacked Yes | 46c | 65.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 49c | 56.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…a01fbacked No | 54c | 55.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 61c | 52.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 60c | 52.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…f4f5backed Yes | 22c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…00b2backed Yes | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 145 | 24.1%35 W · 110 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 53c | 50.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 63c | 50.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 44c | 50.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…31e3backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 40c | 49.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…1b7cbacked Yes | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed Yes | 47c | 45.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 43c | 44.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…bc30backed No | 56c | 43.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked No | 58c | 42.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb9…7895backed No | 58c | 42.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 69c | 41.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 41c | 38.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 37.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 61c | 36.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 35c | 35.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed Yes | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 44c | 32.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 59c | 32.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1a…8572backed Yes | 59c | 31.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1441…0b51backed Yes | 48c | 31.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c10…5269backed Yes | 49c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 56c | 29.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f37…1952backed No | 56c | 28.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…a782backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 515 | 37.5%193 W · 322 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc799…e4f6backed No | 77c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 50c | 22.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…52e2backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…42efbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 73c | 15.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.