Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc842bf24c890a74376edf8f90fcc0f704447797908ece39b1a0ffb0273c5c18d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cal State Fullerton Titansof Cal State Fullerton Titans, Bakersfield Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 9c | 4,631$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 59c | 4,355$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 3c | 3,512$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 78c | 2,700$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.21 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 77c | 1,130$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.6 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350b…41e8backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 68c | 1,034$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.98 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 11c | 927.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 9c | 857.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 62c | 673.23$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.86 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 68c | 554.57$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.46 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 38c | 553.96$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.26 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 34c | 534.66$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.08 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 32c | 533.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.74 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 6c | 460$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.6 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 68c | 442.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…960cbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 5c | 260$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +303.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 30c | 254.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 70c | 253$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 70c | 242.41$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 70c | 213.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 47c | 204.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 32c | 195.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 69c | 170.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 43c | 170$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 50c | 163.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 56c | 149.4$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 69c | 144.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 30c | 123.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 30c | 119.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 44c | 116.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 72c | 99.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 46c | 98.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 33c | 95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 78c | 86.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 23c | 85.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 64c | 79.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 58c | 71.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 69c | 71.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 58c | 66.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 51c | 55.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 29c | 42.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 55c | 33.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…ad0cbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 60c | 23.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 59c | 18.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…cce2backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 69c | 18.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersthis page
- Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 159.5Over won
- Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.