Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Marshall Thundering Herd
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9426c789687b705227cb723e3cbfa12b6d06272178306317f9e381f5f9df45c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marshall Thundering Herdof Old Dominion Monarchs, Marshall Thundering Herd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 4,237$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.49 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 25c | 2,413$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.96 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 26c | 2,113$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.3 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 25c | 1,918$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.13 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 73c | 1,285$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.03 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 9c | 1,281$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 1,249$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.07 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 930.5$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 665.16$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.47 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 27c | 603.22$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.87 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 26c | 500$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 27c | 499.46$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 481.55$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 74c | 409.75$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 355.09$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 25c | 351.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 13c | 340.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 77c | 305.6$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 24c | 303.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 26c | 271.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 265.25$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 26c | 204.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 26c | 196.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 74c | 176.44$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 27c | 171.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 74c | 169.78$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 26c | 145.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 143.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 73c | 135.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 27c | 108.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 28c | 105.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…b694backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a3…6818backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…436fbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 99.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 26c | 99.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed6e…f269backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 29c | 99.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…38f1backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 29c | 99.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0b90backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 29c | 99.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 27c | 98.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 92.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…1d57backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 66.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 73c | 60.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…8fa3backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 28c | 58.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…aa84backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 26c | 57.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…30b5backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 26c | 57.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…c244backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 28c | 54.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 73c | 53.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 26c | 50.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 26c | 49.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 77c | 43.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 27c | 42.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 27c | 39.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e25…cd73backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 73c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…378cbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 73c | 22.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…ffd8backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 21.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…2d43backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 73c | 20.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…523abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 73c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3027…c9d7backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 20.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…4007backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 19.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7647…68b1backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 19.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…390fbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 18.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…f835backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 73c | 18.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…20c8backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 16.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…d542backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 73c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c1…41fcbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 73c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Marshall Thundering Herdthis page
- Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 159.5Over won
- Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 160.5Over won
- Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-6.5)Marshall Thundering Herd won
- Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-7.5)Marshall Thundering Herd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.