Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Fairfield Stags
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9a52fb3d0a57a4b44faa05b5472cbd5b9dacf18d2f4d7b4898f625d2315cc38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quinnipiac Bobcatsof Quinnipiac Bobcats, Fairfield Stags
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Fairfield Stags | 44c | 2,078$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.41 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 58c | 2,000$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.54 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 49c | 1,345$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.34 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fairfield Stags | 52c | 1,199$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Fairfield Stags | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 35c | 857.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.13 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 51c | 698$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.34 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Fairfield Stags | 43c | 594.67$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.71 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Fairfield Stags | 54c | 545.49$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.82 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 57c | 523$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.89 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 39c | 516.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.77 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fairfield Stags | 54c | 407$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Fairfield Stags | 61c | 332.85$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 66c | 303.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 56c | 297$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.7 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 28c | 284.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fairfield Stags | 73c | 237$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.75 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Fairfield Stags | 67c | 206.07$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fairfield Stags | 43c | 203.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Fairfield Stags | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Fairfield Stags | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Fairfield Stags | 34c | 199.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fairfield Stags | 53c | 197.47$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 56c | 187$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Fairfield Stags | 44c | 185.37$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 55c | 181.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fairfield Stags | 42c | 170$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Fairfield Stags | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Fairfield Stags | 72c | 99.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 56c | 98.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 54c | 95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 49c | 73.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fairfield Stags | 47c | 63.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Fairfield Stags | 54c | 60.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fairfield Stags | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Fairfield Stags | 75c | 47.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 44c | 42.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fairfield Stags | 55c | 40.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 56c | 38.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fairfield Stags | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Fairfield Stags | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Fairfield Stags | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Fairfield Stags | 48c | 22.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…f97ebacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fairfield Stags | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked Fairfield Stags | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Fairfield Stagsthis page
- Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 151.5Under won
- Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-1.5)Quinnipiac Bobcats won
- Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-2.5)Quinnipiac Bobcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.