Tennis · resolved market
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Filippo Romano vs Murphy Cassone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbcab3b44cd56f7d0a94bf3f7044d087c4bcc4d257862c3d87bcaa4ae19e99f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Murphy Cassoneof Filippo Romano, Murphy Cassone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Murphy Cassone | 80c | 15,382$12,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.58 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Filippo Romano | 18c | 13,650$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.48 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…c68cbacked Filippo Romano | 65c | 4,132$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Filippo Romano | 21c | 1,837$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.85 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Murphy Cassone | 35c | 1,574$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.01 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Murphy Cassone | 44c | 1,226$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.19 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…599cbacked Filippo Romano | 64c | 783.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Murphy Cassone | 66c | 691.93$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Murphy Cassone | 37c | 663.3$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.88 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Filippo Romano | 55c | 604.27$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.02 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Murphy Cassone | 35c | 599.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.97 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Murphy Cassone | 38c | 590.34$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.34 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Murphy Cassone | 39c | 547.54$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.51 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…5906backed Filippo Romano | 4c | 504.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Filippo Romano | 41c | 451.06$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.31 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Murphy Cassone | 35c | 431.34$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.37 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…05b6backed Filippo Romano | 18c | 398.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Murphy Cassone | 35c | 340.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.64 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Filippo Romano | 21c | 327$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Murphy Cassone | 35c | 317$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.22 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…240cbacked Murphy Cassone | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Murphy Cassone | 38c | 261.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Murphy Cassone | 37c | 229.21$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Filippo Romano | 27c | 186.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Murphy Cassone | 47c | 181.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Murphy Cassone | 36c | 180$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e8…9826backed Filippo Romano | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Murphy Cassone | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Filippo Romano | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Filippo Romano | 64c | 156.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Filippo Romano | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Filippo Romano | 64c | 149.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Murphy Cassone | 36c | 104$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Murphy Cassone | 66c | 99.49$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Murphy Cassone | 45c | 86.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Murphy Cassone | 35c | 85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Filippo Romano | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Filippo Romano | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Filippo Romano | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…1ed3backed Filippo Romano | 64c | 74.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Filippo Romano | 58c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Filippo Romano | 64c | 59.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Filippo Romano | 60c | 57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Murphy Cassone | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…d6ebbacked Filippo Romano | 26c | 55.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Murphy Cassone | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Filippo Romano | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Murphy Cassone | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Murphy Cassone | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Murphy Cassone | 37c | 34.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Filippo Romano | 53c | 33.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Murphy Cassone | 36c | 32.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…5e4cbacked Murphy Cassone | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +8.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +34%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Filippo Romano | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Murphy Cassone | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Filippo Romano | 64c | 28.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Murphy Cassone | 73c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Filippo Romano | 62c | 26.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Filippo Romano | 63c | 24.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Filippo Romano | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Filippo Romano | 62c | 19.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Filippo Romano | 63c | 18.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Murphy Cassone | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.