Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Nao Hibino vs Anna Siskova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbcc2277045365fa3fb7f1c2b350e5e98b6fa6114fa554bbc6c46fb51f62f4d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nao Hibinoof Nao Hibino, Anna Siskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anna Siskova | 4c | 14,181$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.85 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Anna Siskova | 39c | 9,810$3,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.17 | 258 | 43.8%113 W · 145 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Nao Hibino | 71c | 4,457$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.66 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed Nao Hibino | 46c | 2,306$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.13 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Nao Hibino | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Nao Hibino | 45c | 1,483$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.63 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anna Siskova | 34c | 1,089$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.58 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Anna Siskova | 58c | 986.5$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.17 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Nao Hibino | 43c | 969.98$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.89 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe366…6de2backed Nao Hibino | 55c | 953.18$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.63 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anna Siskova | 57c | 869.81$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.79 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Nao Hibino | 42c | 750$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Nao Hibino | 52c | 681.23$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.52 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anna Siskova | 48c | 606.3$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.19 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Nao Hibino | 51c | 473.01$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.76 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Anna Siskova | 54c | 459.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…9a05backed Nao Hibino | 49c | 400$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Nao Hibino | 63c | 298.94$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Anna Siskova | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 39.2%94 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Anna Siskova | 30c | 160.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nao Hibino | 44c | 143.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Nao Hibino | 47c | 132$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Anna Siskova | 29c | 108.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nao Hibino | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Nao Hibino | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…c4f4backed Anna Siskova | 52c | 87.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nao Hibino | 47c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nao Hibino | 46c | 78.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Anna Siskova | 42c | 76.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Nao Hibino | 77c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Anna Siskova | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Nao Hibino | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Nao Hibino | 42c | 48.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nao Hibino | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Nao Hibino | 68c | 46.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Nao Hibino | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230d…f862backed Anna Siskova | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Anna Siskova | 39c | 37.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nao Hibino | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Anna Siskova | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x940e…e290backed Anna Siskova | 57c | 35.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Anna Siskova | 47c | 34.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Anna Siskova | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Anna Siskova | 50c | 32.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nao Hibino | 45c | 30.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Anna Siskova | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Anna Siskova | 48c | 29.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 132 | 29.5%39 W · 93 L | -32.9wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Nao Hibino | 45c | 29.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 471 | 48.2%227 W · 244 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Nao Hibino | 65c | 27.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 395 | 60.3%238 W · 157 L | +28.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Anna Siskova | 51c | 27.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Anna Siskova | 53c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Nao Hibino | 54c | 22.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Anna Siskova | 57c | 21.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Anna Siskova | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.