TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$312,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,533 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION53c28,650$15,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,531.4154556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked PARIVISION53c17,755$9,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,319.1955157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed BetBoom Team48c12,844$6,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,162.0351751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked BetBoom Team47c11,604$5,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,408.7936041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked PARIVISION53c10,783$5,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,067.9110236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team46c10,695$4,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,924.352,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed PARIVISION45c10,115$4,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,557.8114253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked BetBoom Team47c10,087$4,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,740.8941242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team33c7,789$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.461,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed BetBoom Team62c6,342$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,934.9996557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4cd…4dd1backed BetBoom Team47c5,838$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,767.632556%14 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed BetBoom Team46c5,502$2,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.9671454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed BetBoom Team49c5,088$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.0769644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed BetBoom Team48c5,008$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.5122643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed PARIVISION46c4,285$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.589749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked BetBoom Team47c4,117$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.9422842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION50c3,529$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.3488539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed BetBoom Team45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.8532854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked BetBoom Team57c3,102$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.5853451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2969…d6e5backed PARIVISION55c2,718$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.234131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team46c2,694$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.731,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team47c2,577$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.111,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION67c2,500$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.1580443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed BetBoom Team25c2,380$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.550832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed PARIVISION75c2,292$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.046566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked BetBoom Team56c2,197$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.6218746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed PARIVISION52c1,980$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.316647%31 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked BetBoom Team67c1,934$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.3986659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team40c1,873$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.221,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked BetBoom Team38c1,773$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.5136851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed BetBoom Team48c1,700$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8164245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked BetBoom Team10c1,600$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16037811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed PARIVISION52c1,441$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6921942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked PARIVISION51c1,229$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.1936547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed BetBoom Team52c1,158$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked BetBoom Team47c1,150$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.3286949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION50c1,105$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.599844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed BetBoom Team49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53923650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked PARIVISION51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.9960646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1942…2c75backed PARIVISION28c1,060$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.765339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…806dbacked BetBoom Team1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109358.1%54 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed BetBoom Team48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48055751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed BetBoom Team48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48011647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed BetBoom Team41c992.99$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.777941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked BetBoom Team29c973.02$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.7344149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed BetBoom Team32c966.16$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30914251.4%73 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed PARIVISION49c912.44$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.2712661.1%77 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed BetBoom Team47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42349455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed BetBoom Team44c872.32$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.836237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed BetBoom Team50c869.08$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.5460349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed BetBoom Team7c835.89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.116132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6160…fdfcbacked PARIVISION65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.231442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked BetBoom Team11c765.16$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5737018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed PARIVISION68c750$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23833549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed PARIVISION53c748.22$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.2255457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed PARIVISION32c745$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.652243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed BetBoom Team43c704.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION63c681.67$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.560552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed BetBoom Team46c623.16$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6617651.1%90 W · 86 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked BetBoom Team75c600$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011960.5%72 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc327…c72abacked BetBoom Team29c595.3$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4911753%62 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION26c590$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.992056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed PARIVISION51c580.22$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.7933041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked PARIVISION53c567.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.575750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION52c535.59$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.591,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed PARIVISION53c523.21$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.8619162.8%120 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb638…5213backed PARIVISION53c520$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.43215.6%5 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-69.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed BetBoom Team47c500$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.4317353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked PARIVISION74c499.99$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12918362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed BetBoom Team51c456.92$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.7446649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked PARIVISION55c456.27$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4616550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed BetBoom Team16c453.61$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5855147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed BetBoom Team8c450$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3614443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ccb…bbd7backed PARIVISION47c424.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.835837.9%22 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed PARIVISION49c405.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.151,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed BetBoom Team13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5213027.7%36 W · 94 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked PARIVISION53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18825147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed BetBoom Team49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19664149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed PARIVISION52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19215051.3%77 W · 73 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked BetBoom Team52c399.98$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9988166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked BetBoom Team50c370.58$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.393964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team54c368.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.261,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked PARIVISION55c368.46$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.046753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed BetBoom Team41c366.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15086451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked PARIVISION45c357.85$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.829651%49 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed PARIVISION54c349.37$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6415452.6%81 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked BetBoom Team30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015461.7%95 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63a2…5bc1backed BetBoom Team30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012638.9%49 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed PARIVISION53c321.32$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3210949.5%54 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed BetBoom Team50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15072154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22d…3a13backed PARIVISION56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13224045.4%109 W · 131 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION53c291.34$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.532,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed PARIVISION60c291.02$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0546451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed BetBoom Team49c289.31$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7621146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed BetBoom Team69c288.46$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0431245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed PARIVISION55c283.52$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9211549.6%57 W · 58 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed PARIVISION55c278.97$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.668251.2%42 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked BetBoom Team7c277.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4260%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc97…2811backed PARIVISION55c236.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.362560%15 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed BetBoom Team43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.