Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Leicestershire vs Somerset
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd04a354148443873018e031b14b63bf2adde3dd2001d3acb519675bcf4f19ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leicestershireof Leicestershire, Somerset
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Leicestershire | 55c | 2,059$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.18 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Somerset | 67c | 946.61$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.23 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Somerset | 44c | 663.09$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Somerset | 24c | 661.72$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Somerset | 22c | 476.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Leicestershire | 56c | 447.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.61 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Somerset | 44c | 365.18$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.68 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Somerset | 53c | 298.36$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.25 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Somerset | 21c | 256.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Leicestershire | 47c | 236.17$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Somerset | 40c | 194.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Leicestershire | 33c | 180$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Leicestershire | 39c | 133.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Somerset | 44c | 121.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Leicestershire | 52c | 108.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Somerset | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leicestershire | 54c | 92.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Leicestershire | 63c | 89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Somerset | 44c | 85.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Somerset | 40c | 74.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Somerset | 45c | 74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Leicestershire | 55c | 66.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Somerset | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Somerset | 25c | 65.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Somerset | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Somerset | 28c | 64.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Leicestershire | 80c | 60.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…ab3dbacked Somerset | 22c | 56.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Leicestershire | 47c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Somerset | 21c | 52.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Leicestershire | 56c | 47.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Leicestershire | 55c | 39.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Leicestershire | 53c | 30.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Somerset | 46c | 29.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Somerset | 47c | 23.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…b726backed Leicestershire | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.