Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce7b697bfbc86de6e7e624de3033faf3f88bfae78206d27ab6b6675e2a061a7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7518…ef34backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 1c | 3,648$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 11c | 899.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 1c | 887.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 71c | 626.8$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.95 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 17c | 474.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 46c | 449.22$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.5 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 6c | 407.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 65c | 264.45$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.31 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…24a6backed No | 27c | 260$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…da31backed Yes | 49c | 247.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 5c | 234.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 53c | 225.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 59c | 199.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 26c | 193$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.42 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 191.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.63 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 37c | 190.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked No | 73c | 176.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…ed49backed Yes | 45c | 173.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…4eb1backed Yes | 51c | 173.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 32c | 171.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.86 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…2be0backed No | 47c | 163.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b82…c4e7backed No | 21c | 145.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…e18dbacked No | 28c | 141.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…1b96backed No | 69c | 133$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc552…c3abbacked No | 60c | 127.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 25c | 127.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…7b7cbacked Yes | 40c | 123.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 51c | 121.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 55c | 115$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 70c | 115$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 18c | 112.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 32c | 109.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 22c | 107.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 29c | 104.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…31c0backed Yes | 40c | 103.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 50c | 102.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…4c6dbacked Yes | 20c | 101.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 52c | 100.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…64ccbacked Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…d84abacked Yes | 27c | 95.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 18c | 91.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 62c | 90.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 22c | 89.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 13c | 89.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…f637backed Yes | 39c | 81.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…9fb8backed Yes | 30c | 80.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…78b1backed Yes | 40c | 80.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +18.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…a680backed No | 54c | 71.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…5de0backed Yes | 34c | 62.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…12eabacked Yes | 29c | 60.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 56c | 60.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe721…a4d4backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 58c | 59.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…8e7fbacked Yes | 48c | 56.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…3296backed No | 62c | 55.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 29c | 52.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…2c08backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 42c | 50.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…a14abacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…6c07backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Yes | 49c | 49.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b1…a928backed No | 57c | 48.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174c…4351backed Yes | 56c | 42.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…379bbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b81abacked No | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed No | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed Yes | 50c | 37.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed No | 54c | 36.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…b55fbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…100abacked No | 78c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 85 | 65.9%56 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…e2d7backed Yes | 62c | 34.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 44c | 33.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 48c | 33.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 31.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 179 | 78.8%141 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 78cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dc…d8a4backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Yes | 73c | 27.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517e…4fb2backed No | 71c | 26.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 90 | 76.7%69 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 66c | 25.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f27…d11bbacked Yes | 57c | 24.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844f…90cdbacked Yes | 49c | 21.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c5…8511backed Yes | 55c | 21.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1f9cbacked No | 52c | 19.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 61c | 19.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb94…f5fbbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…dc44backed Yes | 80c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C or below on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on February 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on February 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.