Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Jersey vs France
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfa71432e43d56a73e9a0c9e26952b1907d7a7b4d05e55c9ace881fc10f77443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jerseyof Jersey, France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Jersey | 69c | 2,295$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed France | 44c | 2,255$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jersey | 75c | 1,522$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked France | 23c | 1,295$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.96 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed France | 25c | 1,251$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.26 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jersey | 53c | 1,112$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.25 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed France | 22c | 906.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.59 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5616…64cdbacked France | 30c | 899.95$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.99 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +10.4wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c84…4fe3backed France | 3c | 851.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Jersey | 60c | 750.58$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.8 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked France | 29c | 622.89$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked France | 40c | 586.94$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…e9ebbacked France | 23c | 490$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…b323backed France | 23c | 490$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…0456backed France | 23c | 480$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed France | 7c | 398.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed France | 23c | 390.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked France | 22c | 347.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Jersey | 72c | 316.72$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed France | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jersey | 77c | 170.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Jersey | 75c | 165.55$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed France | 22c | 159.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4b75backed Jersey | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d5…1210backed Jersey | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c82fbacked Jersey | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0e…995cbacked Jersey | 77c | 129.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…9430backed Jersey | 79c | 124.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Jersey | 77c | 122.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…97b5backed Jersey | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…8ca6backed Jersey | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…832dbacked Jersey | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…61f7backed Jersey | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…acc2backed Jersey | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…c5c9backed Jersey | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…3804backed Jersey | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked France | 26c | 116.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked France | 25c | 112.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Jersey | 76c | 109.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed France | 26c | 105.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…7713backed Jersey | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Jersey | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Jersey | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked France | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553c…58debacked Jersey | 79c | 77.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jersey | 76c | 73.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…192cbacked France | 24c | 71.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed France | 24c | 60.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed France | 26c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Jersey | 75c | 57.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jersey | 73c | 52.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Jersey | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed France | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…46d3backed France | 29c | 45.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jersey | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Jersey | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jersey | 75c | 33.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Jersey | 74c | 31.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc3…7619backed Jersey | 66c | 30.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210e…3f9dbacked Jersey | 67c | 29.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…14fcbacked Jersey | 67c | 28.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Jersey | 64c | 27.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…3954backed Jersey | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Jersey | 73c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jersey | 63c | 17.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Jersey | 67c | 16.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Jersey | 75c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Jersey | 74c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…ed46backed Jersey | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.