MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd00a6de8e0781770c862a43917725a8777eaaaa195d65b1276606acadf53d11a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof SSG Landers, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.98 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed SSG Landers | 52c | 1,496$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.78 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 914.72$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.21 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 895.47$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.83 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 738$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.48 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed SSG Landers | 53c | 589.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.78 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Doosan Bears | 26c | 458.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.83 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed SSG Landers | 73c | 418.75$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.6 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed SSG Landers | 31c | 391.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 69c | 374.8$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 374.41$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 343.48$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Doosan Bears | 43c | 283.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SSG Landers | 21c | 265.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Doosan Bears | 69c | 230.52$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed SSG Landers | 71c | 211$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 203.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Doosan Bears | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 185$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed SSG Landers | 48c | 110.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…8c6ebacked SSG Landers | 37c | 109.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Doosan Bears | 28c | 104.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked SSG Landers | 49c | 103.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 102.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed SSG Landers | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed SSG Landers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed SSG Landers | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Doosan Bears | 23c | 90$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed SSG Landers | 17c | 88.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 71c | 82.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SSG Landers | 20c | 79.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked SSG Landers | 75c | 70.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 67.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Doosan Bears | 28c | 46.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SSG Landers | 47c | 42.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed SSG Landers | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Doosan Bears | 72c | 34.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 32.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed SSG Landers | 48c | 31.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SSG Landers | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SSG Landers | 48c | 21.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SSG Landers | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.