Tennis · resolved market
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Francesca Jones vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0143ea29fdbce1125299e73edbf21a14da9a60c5d9f8ea771ae7d8f39caba93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yelyzaveta Kotliarof Francesca Jones, Yelyzaveta Kotliar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Francesca Jones | 1c | 31,403$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.21 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Francesca Jones | 32c | 15,519$4,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,967 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Francesca Jones | 49c | 15,130$7,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,368.63 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…d68bbacked Francesca Jones | 0c | 14,680$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…3641backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 15c | 12,912$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,911.71 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 35c | 10,106$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,523.91 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 32c | 9,873$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,734.15 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 26c | 2,650$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.88 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Francesca Jones | 50c | 2,333$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.96 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 9c | 2,009$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.24 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.85 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 11c | 1,844$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.62 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…833ebacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 29c | 1,722$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.61 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 48c | 1,570$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.34 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Francesca Jones | 45c | 1,330$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.83 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 16c | 1,271$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.67 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 6c | 1,170$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.03 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Francesca Jones | 63c | 1,147$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.5 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.33 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 12c | 1,027$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.88 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 5c | 924.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.12 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francesca Jones | 67c | 748.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Francesca Jones | 49c | 500.1$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.72 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 30c | 430.53$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.53 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Francesca Jones | 78c | 402.69$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.34 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 16c | 381.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.84 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 68c | 365.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.79 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 7c | 279.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.15 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Francesca Jones | 45c | 263.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 39c | 257.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.48 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 27c | 228.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.71 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fb…214bbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 4c | 225$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +802.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Francesca Jones | 62c | 203.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 32c | 202.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Francesca Jones | 45c | 201.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 13c | 168.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…5c5fbacked Francesca Jones | 40c | 143.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 14c | 143$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 8c | 133.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Francesca Jones | 41c | 119$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 69c | 106$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Francesca Jones | 78c | 104.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 16c | 98.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 26c | 92.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 17c | 87.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Francesca Jones | 73c | 70.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 330 | 65.8%217 W · 113 L | +25.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…0720backed Francesca Jones | 45c | 69.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Francesca Jones | 76c | 69.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Francesca Jones | 75c | 69.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…589abacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 69c | 68.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 33c | 64.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 46c | 62.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1e…f51cbacked Francesca Jones | 45c | 45.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Francesca Jones | 78c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Francesca Jones | 48c | 41.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Francesca Jones | 80c | 38.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Francesca Jones | 46c | 32.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Francesca Jones | 72c | 27.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yelyzaveta Kotliar | 67c | 25.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Francesca Jones | 74c | 19.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Francesca Jones | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Francesca Jones | 64c | 19.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Francesca Jones | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Francesca Jones vs Yelyzaveta Kotliarthis page
- Set Handicap: Jones (-1.5) vs Kotliar (+1.5)Kotliar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.