TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, Esprit Shōnen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,774
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,774 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Esprit Shōnen10c22,699$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.911,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Esprit Shōnen11c16,121$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.171,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Esprit Shōnen15c8,500$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.391,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Esprit Shōnen11c5,496$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.47744.2%34 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Esprit Shōnen17c5,339$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.131,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Esprit Shōnen10c5,066$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.231,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Esprit Shōnen12c4,543$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.162,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Esprit Shōnen6c4,083$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.989823.5%23 W · 75 L-10.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed Esprit Shōnen1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302522%5 W · 247 L+0.4wins0.00per pick2cpaid-93.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Esprit Shōnen10c2,786$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.613543%58 W · 77 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Esprit Shōnen12c2,532$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.9990537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Esprit Shōnen13c2,471$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.551,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Esprit Shōnen10c2,020$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21228544.9%128 W · 157 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Esprit Shōnen10c1,991$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2222146.6%103 W · 118 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Esprit Shōnen19c1,830$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.92,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd9…56cfbacked Esprit Shōnen14c1,822$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.4612525.6%32 W · 93 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Esprit Shōnen13c1,781$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.4729447.6%140 W · 154 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Esprit Shōnen12c1,746$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9620826.9%56 W · 152 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Esprit Shōnen10c1,719$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.931,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Esprit Shōnen17c1,684$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.224832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e8b…856ebacked Esprit Shōnen6c1,602$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Esprit Shōnen10c1,557$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.671,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Esprit Shōnen10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Esprit Shōnen13c1,202$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15113947.5%66 W · 73 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Esprit Shōnen19c1,060$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4957246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d96…3d50backed Esprit Shōnen14c1,035$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.954022.5%9 W · 31 L-8.8wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-65.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Esprit Shōnen17c1,009$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3737343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Esprit Shōnen13c1,009$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.652,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Esprit Shōnen11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Esprit Shōnen14c999.96$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9917439.1%68 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Esprit Shōnen18c940.77$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.341,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df4…153cbacked Esprit Shōnen7c909.9$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.29833.7%33 W · 65 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Esprit Shōnen10c818.37$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.595048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad84…dcf1backed Esprit Shōnen20c774.81$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.96837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Esprit Shōnen10c734$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.553,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Esprit Shōnen13c589.95$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.696235.5%22 W · 40 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Esprit Shōnen10c565.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0985742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Esprit Shōnen20c560.83$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210834.3%37 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Esprit Shōnen9c548.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5062739.9%250 W · 377 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240e…eb16backed Esprit Shōnen10c540$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Esprit Shōnen14c528.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0638439.8%153 W · 231 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Esprit Shōnen10c518.06$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9763742.7%272 W · 365 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Esprit Shōnen18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Esprit Shōnen10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507733.8%26 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59d3…c92fbacked Esprit Shōnen19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Esprit Shōnen19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfca7…5e0abacked Esprit Shōnen19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Esprit Shōnen14c461.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2819747.7%94 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Esprit Shōnen18c443$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9120143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Esprit Shōnen10c414.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4227745.1%125 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed Esprit Shōnen5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055110.3%57 W · 494 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Esprit Shōnen12c376.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.131,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Esprit Shōnen10c310.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.791,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked Esprit Shōnen10c310$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3114750.3%74 W · 73 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Esprit Shōnen10c307.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.051,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Esprit Shōnen18c299.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5579745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Esprit Shōnen20c254$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.844745.2%202 W · 245 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Esprit Shōnen13c240$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.217439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Esprit Shōnen13c238.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.998838.6%34 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Esprit Shōnen7c236$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.071,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed Esprit Shōnen19c208.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3253932.5%175 W · 364 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Esprit Shōnen8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1667115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Esprit Shōnen10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Esprit Shōnen11c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6555628.6%159 W · 397 L-31.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Esprit Shōnen15c183.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9929738.7%115 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed Esprit Shōnen14c181$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3416646.4%77 W · 89 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Esprit Shōnen11c174.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.871,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Esprit Shōnen10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510746.7%50 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Esprit Shōnen14c131.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.372,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Esprit Shōnen15c130.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6874637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Esprit Shōnen14c127.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2710555.2%58 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Esprit Shōnen18c127$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4624544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Karmine Corp Blue80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14b7…aab1backed Esprit Shōnen10c121.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1319045.3%86 W · 104 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Esprit Shōnen11c120$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Esprit Shōnen22c119.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.341,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8072…c60abacked Esprit Shōnen12c117$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-54.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e8…4fffbacked Esprit Shōnen14c106.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.486953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Esprit Shōnen17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1760243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b09…e4c2backed Karmine Corp Blue80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010254.9%56 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Esprit Shōnen14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420542.4%87 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb69…cdf0backed Esprit Shōnen14c84.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.792540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…a690backed Esprit Shōnen19c81.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.492015%3 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-71.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3cb7…943ebacked Esprit Shōnen16c81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Esprit Shōnen19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.235442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Esprit Shōnen20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Esprit Shōnen13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Esprit Shōnen14c72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1525240.1%101 W · 151 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Karmine Corp Blue77c63.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.611,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f3…ac83backed Esprit Shōnen25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b89…9183backed Karmine Corp Blue80c23.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.754759.6%28 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Karmine Corp Blue73c14.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0220544.4%91 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.