TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Taylor Townsend vs Katie Boulter

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Katie Boulterof Taylor Townsend, Katie Boulter
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3df…82fabacked Taylor Townsend43c9,056$3,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,884.3127846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Taylor Townsend52c7,383$3,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,837.9410443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Katie Boulter58c7,109$4,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.1111,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Katie Boulter57c6,690$3,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,887.4341251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Taylor Townsend31c6,186$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.1948851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Taylor Townsend28c4,100$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.397,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Taylor Townsend52c4,015$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.861,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Taylor Townsend28c3,106$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.72,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Taylor Townsend40c2,820$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.253,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Katie Boulter73c2,712$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.1562061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Taylor Townsend47c2,457$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.745949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Taylor Townsend44c2,118$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.7234136.4%124 W · 217 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Katie Boulter47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06070752.8%373 W · 334 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Katie Boulter48c1,938$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.5530542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Katie Boulter48c1,938$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.5539438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Taylor Townsend51c1,892$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.0854345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Taylor Townsend50c1,869$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.6963440.9%259 W · 375 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Taylor Townsend49c1,799$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.771,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Katie Boulter49c1,572$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.851,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Katie Boulter61c1,538$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.719,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Katie Boulter49c1,531$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.612,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58f…ee1abacked Katie Boulter72c1,512$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.066454.7%35 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Katie Boulter47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.9859348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Taylor Townsend53c1,137$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.6132851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed Katie Boulter47c1,128$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.5722248.2%107 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Katie Boulter62c1,092$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.966,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Katie Boulter65c1,091$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.638,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x463e…fa8ebacked Katie Boulter51c1,067$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.84763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Katie Boulter53c1,065$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.79656.3%54 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Katie Boulter46c1,020$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.0258232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…5ceabacked Katie Boulter51c1,001$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.487250%36 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c6…b50bbacked Katie Boulter51c1,001$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.488946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e26…e4d1backed Katie Boulter60c976$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.410436.5%38 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Katie Boulter48c968.8$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.781822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-59.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Katie Boulter47c900.43$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.231,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Taylor Townsend49c884.51$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.3217348%83 W · 90 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Taylor Townsend54c826.54$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.3391050.2%457 W · 453 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Taylor Townsend47c769.05$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.784,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Taylor Townsend26c675.61$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3238013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Katie Boulter57c666.78$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.0934047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Taylor Townsend49c663.77$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.2523457.3%134 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Taylor Townsend47c600.64$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.561,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Katie Boulter52c586.68$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.1844038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Katie Boulter52c575.28$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.131,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Taylor Townsend53c564.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9998841.3%408 W · 580 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Katie Boulter47c531$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.4387251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x521c…f4aabacked Katie Boulter48c504.58$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3836948.5%179 W · 190 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Taylor Townsend42c460.66$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1368139.1%266 W · 415 L-30.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Katie Boulter48c456.3$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.2855641.2%229 W · 327 L-2.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0eaf…507bbacked Taylor Townsend46c421.49$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5118133.1%60 W · 121 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Katie Boulter46c420.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.181,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Katie Boulter53c388.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.736852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Taylor Townsend49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19086050.1%431 W · 429 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Katie Boulter50c370.91$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.5760355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Katie Boulter53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3621758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Katie Boulter53c366.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.351,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Katie Boulter69c365.06$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.315,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Taylor Townsend42c324.38$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4736944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Katie Boulter56c311.96$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.772,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Taylor Townsend39c301.7$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7719851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Katie Boulter46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16242839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Katie Boulter50c297.26$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7935132.2%113 W · 238 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Katie Boulter47c286.75$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.982,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Katie Boulter41c280.64$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.331,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Taylor Townsend49c276.08$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.984,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Taylor Townsend59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.54,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Taylor Townsend47c247.25$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3755243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb795…1a30backed Katie Boulter52c242.8$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.542552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Katie Boulter52c242.67$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2930649.7%152 W · 154 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Katie Boulter48c233.48$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4143242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Katie Boulter48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9551342.9%220 W · 293 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedd9…4d7fbacked Katie Boulter48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Katie Boulter50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Katie Boulter77c197.54$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4433747.2%159 W · 178 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Taylor Townsend51c194.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9817460.3%105 W · 69 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Katie Boulter51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.122,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Taylor Townsend48c193.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9334549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Taylor Townsend21c174$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5475748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Taylor Townsend49c173.52$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.037,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Taylor Townsend49c158.8$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8113641.9%57 W · 79 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Taylor Townsend51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.59,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2439…7cb3backed Taylor Townsend33c145.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.562025%5 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfef7…8c9dbacked Katie Boulter54c144.71$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Katie Boulter53c143.83$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.699255.9%555 W · 437 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Katie Boulter48c142.32$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7421638%82 W · 134 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Taylor Townsend48c141.62$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.486,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Taylor Townsend45c140.06$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.361,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Katie Boulter48c136.44$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596b…e891backed Katie Boulter77c130.87$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.15664.3%36 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Katie Boulter59c125.65$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6195050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Taylor Townsend48c121.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1145752.7%241 W · 216 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Katie Boulter46c120.52$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0836244.8%162 W · 200 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Taylor Townsend41c118.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2283823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b45…db25backed Taylor Townsend55c115.02$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.086933.3%23 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Katie Boulter46c111.11$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,70248.3%822 W · 880 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…40c4backed Katie Boulter49c108.81$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.495660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc78…c479backed Taylor Townsend53c100.85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.455255.8%29 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Katie Boulter48c99.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.981,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Katie Boulter59c99.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912169.4%84 W · 37 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Katie Boulter64c96.34$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.657,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.