Fifa International · resolved market
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1d336355d40aadee13b109d0b046555dbc77cf897d969d9a19a26d0f5a261ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 2,516$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.67 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 21c | 1,594$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.03 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 79c | 1,139$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.04 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 25c | 867.22$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.2 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 79c | 608.27$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 589.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Under | 22c | 453.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 80c | 441.78$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 80c | 439.21$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.38 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 80c | 403.22$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 398.91$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 21c | 366.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 20c | 289.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 20c | 261.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…740cbacked Under | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…d304backed Over | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…4160backed Over | 78c | 191.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 78c | 188$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 77c | 166.12$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 73c | 154.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 76c | 131.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 76c | 123$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 113.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…f294backed Over | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 78c | 103$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Under | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 79.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…a070backed Over | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 183 | 71%130 W · 53 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 58 | 75.9%44 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…e17dbacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5this page
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 3.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Myanmar (-1.5)Philippines won
- Spread: Philippines (-1.5)Philippines won
- Spread: Philippines (-2.5)Philippines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.