Fifa International · resolved market
Philippines vs. Myanmar: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf73e1b9bdfedab96ad6a667de8714d3e0d2a2405bab706be27700d377074d50c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 2,378$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.9 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked No | 46c | 1,207$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.52 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 54c | 933.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.43 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 47c | 877.8$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.21 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4766…0286backed Yes | 54c | 735.09$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…f649backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 353.74$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 54c | 227.74$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 39c | 225.59$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.59 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 53c | 206.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 48c | 140.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 132.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 45c | 132.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 124.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 120.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 90.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 53c | 84.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 47c | 81.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 55c | 71.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Yes | 52c | 55.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 54c | 49.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed No | 60c | 48.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked No | 68c | 43.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes | 50c | 43.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 45c | 33.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 30.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 53c | 30.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…10d5backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed Yes | 50c | 29.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 48c | 25.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 63c | 23.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 51c | 23.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 60c | 22.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 50c | 21.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 3.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Myanmar (-1.5)Philippines won
- Spread: Philippines (-1.5)Philippines won
- Spread: Philippines (-2.5)Philippines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.