Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Philippines (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f422935e9581981cb502432f474be1921dbd184b3b616c012ca4020aac27c17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philippinesof Philippines, Myanmar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philippines | 55c | 1,153$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Philippines | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Myanmar | 53c | 856.96$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.19 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Myanmar | 53c | 384$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.52 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Myanmar | 55c | 363.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Philippines | 50c | 318.47$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Myanmar | 14c | 312.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Philippines | 46c | 309.49$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Myanmar | 53c | 260$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philippines | 42c | 184.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…ecc5backed Myanmar | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Philippines | 47c | 169.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Myanmar | 61c | 168.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Myanmar | 62c | 165.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Myanmar | 62c | 165.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Philippines | 56c | 162.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Philippines | 44c | 158.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 208 | 41.3%86 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philippines | 77c | 158.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Myanmar | 56c | 150.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Philippines | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Philippines | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Philippines | 38c | 80.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Myanmar | 64c | 58.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Philippines | 49c | 56.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Myanmar | 51c | 56.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Myanmar | 58c | 49.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Philippines | 50c | 45.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Philippines | 45c | 44.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Myanmar | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Myanmar | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Philippines | 50c | 30.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Philippines | 50c | 30.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Myanmar | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Philippines | 39c | 26.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Philippines | 77c | 26.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Myanmar | 50c | 24.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Philippines | 50c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…a913backed Myanmar | 61c | 16.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Myanmar | 75c | 14.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philippines (-1.5)this page
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 3.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Myanmar (-1.5)Philippines won
- Spread: Philippines (-2.5)Philippines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.