Fifa International · resolved market
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2fe9417310f6839ffda864290b9e674d99068295143dd63db8d257288b93429
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 29c | 4,443$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.68 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 1,866$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.12 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 1,545$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.89 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 37c | 1,347$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.32 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 63c | 1,049$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.58 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 50c | 1,011$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.64 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 65c | 932.9$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.27 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 34c | 910.25$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.41 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 64c | 826.67$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.65 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…0392backed Over | 36c | 580.56$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 526$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.54 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Under | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 37c | 404.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.67 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 69c | 362$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 68c | 346.63$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.67 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 341.82$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.13 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 69c | 338$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.22 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 29c | 334.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.7 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 37c | 300$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 63c | 286.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.63 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Under | 7c | 263.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 33c | 240$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 201.59$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 68c | 200$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 63c | 157.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 151.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 33c | 144$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 15c | 129$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 37c | 113.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 73c | 109.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 33c | 98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…fafcbacked Over | 32c | 90.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 64c | 65.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 37c | 56.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…bb2bbacked Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 49.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 37c | 40.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 61c | 36.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 45.6%130 W · 155 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 63c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…47e7backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc9…1ca3backed Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 64c | 19.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…d1d3backed Under | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 79c | 14.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 91 | 74.7%68 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 3.5this page
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 4.5Over won
- Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Myanmar (-1.5)Philippines won
- Spread: Philippines (-1.5)Philippines won
- Spread: Philippines (-2.5)Philippines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.