Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on April 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2b12e0f569108295092ea66e4a794359f185a317a3792defba9501d394d261d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880d…adb6backed No | 2c | 55,608$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.51 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…b2eebacked No | 0c | 12,864$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…4144backed No | 1c | 2,143$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 11c | 1,421$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.28 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed No | 8c | 1,302$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3511…23fcbacked Yes | 68c | 993.39$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 8c | 829.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 65c | 754.09$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0baa…ff26backed No | 12c | 752.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 68c | 651.82$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.7 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 7c | 599.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 7c | 597.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 68c | 557.48$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.77 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 5c | 531.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 57c | 482.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.63 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 30c | 411.45$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…16b5backed No | 20c | 385.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…9f9abacked No | 26c | 358.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…8973backed No | 28c | 344.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…8208backed Yes | 78c | 333.79$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…5ba7backed Yes | 78c | 331.45$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked Yes | 68c | 290.48$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 63c | 271.86$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503f…9e72backed No | 5c | 271.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 60c | 261.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 57c | 229.89$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…e572backed No | 11c | 223.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 22c | 212.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae4…bd41backed No | 12c | 206.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5efb…5e3bbacked No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…2288backed Yes | 70c | 198.83$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…21f4backed Yes | 80c | 198.77$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…c1babacked Yes | 66c | 195.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 67c | 191.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 50c | 181.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 41c | 175.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…0f0bbacked No | 21c | 174.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…5728backed No | 7c | 170.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…dd39backed Yes | 51c | 166.21$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 10c | 157.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 66c | 152.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…961fbacked No | 12c | 150.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…5289backed Yes | 69c | 146.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked No | 17c | 143.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef6a…18e8backed No | 14c | 142.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 36c | 138.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 57c | 138.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…d9c3backed No | 20c | 138$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…b329backed Yes | 65c | 136.18$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…0e35backed Yes | 70c | 129.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 50c | 128.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…57b3backed Yes | 75c | 126.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 105 | 77.1%81 W · 24 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 17c | 120.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 21c | 115.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 112.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 16c | 106.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 70c | 104.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 48c | 103.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 14c | 102$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 41c | 99.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc342…c744backed No | 45c | 96.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…f500backed No | 31c | 96.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e181backed No | 15c | 95.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abf…a278backed No | 21c | 93.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 77c | 85.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 57c | 83.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 80c | 82.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked No | 16c | 80.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…2116backed No | 53c | 80.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 76c | 79.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 66c | 75.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a6…49ddbacked No | 16c | 75.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 79c | 71.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 74c | 71.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…506bbacked No | 18c | 68.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 59c | 65.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…6732backed Yes | 59c | 64.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked Yes | 19c | 63.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…1011backed No | 32c | 62.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 57c | 57.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 78c | 57.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…e315backed No | 18c | 57.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 24c | 54.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3bf4backed No | 51c | 54.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Yes | 42c | 52.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5659backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x318f…2a1ebacked No | 30c | 46.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f21…b935backed Yes | 62c | 46.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 63c | 46.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 55c | 45.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…60e6backed Yes | 80c | 42.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 27c | 42.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…f224backed Yes | 61c | 41.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on April 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or below on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.