Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd398e0aa6daa131d8c185529c29f2b7e50b00372d2e24b6a485b29f667a58bea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 7c | 359.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1,119 | 23.7%265 W · 854 L | +74.2wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…4fa2backed Yes | 37c | 347.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 62c | 338.38$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 35c | 324.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 431 | 53.1%229 W · 202 L | +25.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 57c | 270.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.78 | 596 | 25%149 W · 447 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 49c | 267.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.82 | 1,067 | 50.7%541 W · 526 L | +29.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 256.74$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed Yes | 46c | 216.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 27.8%32 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 79c | 190$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…12f7backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 25c | 180.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…2fa1backed No | 61c | 161.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 75c | 150.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 2,250 | 57%1,282 W · 968 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…a968backed Yes | 21c | 120.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da9…0a3cbacked Yes | 14c | 107.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 256 | 53.9%138 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 71c | 102.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 40c | 102.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 279 | 44.4%124 W · 155 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…7df1backed Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 23c | 96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 940 | 44.8%421 W · 519 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 50c | 94.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 2,340 | 58.7%1,373 W · 967 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 77c | 93.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 46c | 92.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 414 | 43.2%179 W · 235 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…cbd8backed No | 61c | 80.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 855 | 48.7%416 W · 439 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…297dbacked Yes | 18c | 76.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 207 | 11.6%24 W · 183 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…8c99backed No | 68c | 69.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa4…eae5backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed Yes | 23c | 68.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 36c | 66.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 588 | 50.9%299 W · 289 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 66.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 9,962 | 45.9%4,572 W · 5,390 L | -309.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…bcccbacked Yes | 52c | 66.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 159 | 26.4%42 W · 117 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…6009backed No | 71c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…6595backed Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb884…19c1backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 69c | 59.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 917 | 73.2%671 W · 246 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 26c | 58.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 600 | 32%192 W · 408 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 57.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 4,032 | 35.6%1,436 W · 2,596 L | +42.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 44c | 57.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…f0a1backed Yes | 24c | 52.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 5,489 | 56%3,075 W · 2,414 L | -123.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…c786backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2b…a97abacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1d…56a3backed No | 53c | 47.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…100abacked Yes | 44c | 45.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 48c | 45.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…7817backed Yes | 45c | 44.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 55.4%112 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 44.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2,283 | 58.3%1,331 W · 952 L | +85.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…adafbacked Yes | 44c | 44.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 49c | 43.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 1,421 | 31.1%442 W · 979 L | -93.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 43c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 855 | 35.7%305 W · 550 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Yes | 54c | 40.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 195 | 35.9%70 W · 125 L | -39.3wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…a8dabacked Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…bb09backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,671 | 37.9%633 W · 1,038 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 66c | 37.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 65c | 36.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 50c | 36.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 575 | 59.7%343 W · 232 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…c4b6backed Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3f9dbacked Yes | 42c | 34.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 467 | 36.8%172 W · 295 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,467 | 35.7%880 W · 1,587 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 552 | 38.8%214 W · 338 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4,627 | 58.3%2,696 W · 1,931 L | -114.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…253ebacked No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…d4c9backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,691 | 47.5%1,278 W · 1,413 L | +48.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf361…08f6backed No | 58c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 62c | 28.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 3,649 | 53.2%1,943 W · 1,706 L | +83.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 48c | 28.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 245 | 70.6%173 W · 72 L | +22.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 56c | 28.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 169 | 58.6%99 W · 70 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 48c | 26.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd846…b233backed Yes | 49c | 26.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…a665backed No | 54c | 26.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…86f1backed No | 77c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 74c | 25.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 198 | 31.8%63 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…1e2abacked Yes | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 56c | 23.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 2,295 | 59.3%1,360 W · 935 L | +118.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 57c | 23.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2,233 | 56%1,250 W · 983 L | +47.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…b1e1backed No | 58c | 21.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 67c | 21.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 2,226 | 59.1%1,316 W · 910 L | +110.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 54c | 20.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,158 | 57.1%661 W · 497 L | -45.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…35c9backed No | 63c | 19.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 197 | 50.8%100 W · 97 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 67c | 16.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 986 | 51.1%504 W · 482 L | -49.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.