Tennis · resolved market
ATX Open: Petra Marcinko vs Kimberly Birrell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3a30cb5b956ae6d5fa3d3cec59b60f1220c6714428d6edd9dcaaf0efecbc91e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Birrellof Marcinko, Birrell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Marcinko | 65c | 4,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marcinko | 45c | 3,147$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.45 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Birrell | 36c | 2,447$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.48 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marcinko | 41c | 2,282$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.96 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Birrell | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.34 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marcinko | 54c | 1,801$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Birrell | 40c | 1,653$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.38 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Birrell | 61c | 1,645$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.29 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Birrell | 48c | 1,626$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.29 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Birrell | 59c | 1,455$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.46 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Marcinko | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Marcinko | 47c | 919.22$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.56 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Birrell | 39c | 887.77$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.91 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Marcinko | 54c | 803.59$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.56 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Marcinko | 75c | 803.05$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 68cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Marcinko | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Marcinko | 41c | 736.7$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.52 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Marcinko | 35c | 718.3$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.75 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Marcinko | 55c | 665.09$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.12 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Marcinko | 38c | 660.47$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.64 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Birrell | 55c | 625$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.64 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Birrell | 36c | 557.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.81 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Marcinko | 52c | 538.37$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.91 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Birrell | 59c | 528.69$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.99 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Marcinko | 77c | 513.84$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.45 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Birrell | 60c | 448.16$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Birrell | 40c | 419.37$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.9 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Marcinko | 37c | 407$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Birrell | 53c | 376$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.66 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Birrell | 61c | 327.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Marcinko | 41c | 265$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.19 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Marcinko | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Birrell | 61c | 228.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Birrell | 56c | 227$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Birrell | 51c | 225$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Birrell | 67c | 223$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Marcinko | 39c | 222.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Marcinko | 51c | 217.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Marcinko | 49c | 213.95$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Birrell | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Marcinko | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Birrell | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Birrell | 47c | 177.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Birrell | 79c | 173.42$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Birrell | 61c | 163.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Birrell | 77c | 155$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0e…bb40backed Marcinko | 27c | 137.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Marcinko | 76c | 137.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Birrell | 66c | 137$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Marcinko | 44c | 129.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Marcinko | 41c | 129$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Birrell | 63c | 127.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marcinko | 54c | 126.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Birrell | 57c | 126.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Birrell | 55c | 123.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Marcinko | 33c | 109.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Birrell | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…916abacked Marcinko | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Birrell | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Marcinko | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Birrell | 63c | 92.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Marcinko | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Marcinko | 38c | 89.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Birrell | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Marcinko | 28c | 82.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Marcinko | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Birrell | 66c | 77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Birrell | 54c | 69.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Birrell | 60c | 67.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Marcinko | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed Birrell | 48c | 60.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Birrell | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Marcinko | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Birrell | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…ffa1backed Marcinko | 37c | 46.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 148 | 28.4%42 W · 106 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Birrell | 43c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Birrell | 50c | 44.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Birrell | 56c | 41.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Birrell | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Birrell | 56c | 39.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Marcinko | 52c | 38.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Birrell | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Birrell | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Birrell | 38c | 31.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Birrell | 54c | 27.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Marcinko | 54c | 26.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Marcinko | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Marcinko | 79c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ATX Open: Petra Marcinko vs Kimberly Birrellthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Marcinko vs BirrellMarcinko won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.