Asian League · resolved market
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd64966959ce4af51a3d671fdf513d76b895f6b91768e3c5d93290af44c6bf06a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 75c | 10,027$7,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.9 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 3,366$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.28 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 31c | 2,055$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.05 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 1,331$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 32c | 995.38$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.52 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 69c | 992.31$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.7 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c5…5ad1backed No | 11c | 859.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 17c | 711.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.04 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 68c | 485.65$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 10c | 450.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 15c | 432.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 17c | 333.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 326$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 31c | 298.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 17c | 292$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…7d29backed No | 15c | 255.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 16c | 249.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 30c | 224.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 211.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 79c | 199.39$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Yes | 70c | 197.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 18c | 187.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked No | 21c | 172.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 70c | 170.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 17c | 164.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 76c | 163.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 74c | 152.94$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 15c | 120.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 74c | 115.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 79c | 109.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 22c | 98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…78e1backed No | 19c | 97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed No | 22c | 89.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 17c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 30c | 80.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed No | 14c | 77.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 17c | 71.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 70c | 57.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…0d1cbacked Yes | 70c | 52.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 28c | 47.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 68c | 41.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 32c | 41.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked No | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf870…99e6backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 74c | 27.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 66c | 26.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 71c | 25.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 66c | 17.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 70c | 17.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes | 70c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…534abacked Yes | 69c | 14.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Yes | 69c | 14.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…27dfbacked Yes | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-08-08?No won
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.