Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7ceb737cac6ebf5c2939e1fe62c998a1a3ed6e8b534a1af249e1071b7116b12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 60c | 13,511$8,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,427.69 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 11,743$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.4 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 72c | 7,019$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.34 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 43c | 5,423$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.58 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 39c | 2,753$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.15 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 16c | 2,395$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 2,535 | 38%964 W · 1,571 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 78c | 2,334$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.96 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 2,271$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.65 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 14c | 1,945$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 1,792$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.12 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 1,011$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.93 | 1,337 | 56.5%756 W · 581 L | +64.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 20c | 909.05$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over | 33c | 830.15$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Over | 4c | 757.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 38c | 705.51$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.41 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over | 41c | 677.94$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 63c | 633.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.91 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 7c | 583.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 221 | 43.9%97 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 54c | 355.6$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 65c | 317.45$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e14…5169backed Under | 80c | 303.08$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over | 37c | 270.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…0178backed Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 37c | 238.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 12c | 223.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1,066 | 41.7%445 W · 621 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 71c | 198.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 68c | 163.44$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Under | 53c | 146.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.37per pick | 40cpaid | +960.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…1e34backed Over | 57c | 136.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1031…2febbacked Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 132$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 67c | 129.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed Under | 60c | 128.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 21c | 119.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 227 | 53.7%122 W · 105 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 63c | 114.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 24c | 103.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 961 | 35.3%339 W · 622 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Under | 71c | 88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 61c | 87.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 24c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 33c | 83.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 290 | 36.2%105 W · 185 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Over | 32c | 77.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 49c | 76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Over | 49c | 76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 744 | 44.1%328 W · 416 L | -31.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 618 | 42.6%263 W · 355 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 21c | 56.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 199 | 61.3%122 W · 77 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 39c | 34.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 244 | 59.8%146 W · 98 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 40c | 26.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 333 | 60.7%202 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…1cb2backed Under | 69c | 14.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 5.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Al Hazem SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Al Hazem SC O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hazem SC won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hazem SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.