Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2b1efe54129eb6ce03352281a60b4c2b81217685be525498a05dff1bf3dce09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 78c | 7,557$5,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,865.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 6,471$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.36 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 2,661$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.61 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 62c | 1,600$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.32 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 19c | 1,315$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.15 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 19c | 1,179$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.99 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 60c | 1,106$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.67 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 40c | 755.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 22c | 660.06$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 39c | 649.98$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.44 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 39c | 441.72$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.27 | 243 | 48.6%118 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 344.28$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.47 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 29c | 327.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.59 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 36c | 250.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 43c | 232.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 60c | 191.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69e…75d7backed Under | 14c | 185.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 20c | 179$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Over | 68c | 176.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 60c | 165$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 63c | 99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 62c | 94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 57c | 84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 20c | 79.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 50c | 79.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 80c | 79.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 19c | 73.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 46c | 71.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 61c | 67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Under | 43c | 60.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 60c | 58.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 56.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 63c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 61c | 42.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 61c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 59c | 40.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 58c | 35.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…5e33backed Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 59c | 32.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Under | 39c | 32.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Under | 80c | 31.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 41c | 31.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Over | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…2e87backed Under | 39c | 30.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 56c | 28.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 62c | 23.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 60c | 23.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Al Hazem SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Al Hazem SC O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hazem SC won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hazem SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.