MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7e38ed6c7481bf8fcfac6b064b016552c3c104a3c3788a69da46a2ae58a4529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Athletics | 29c | 50,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Phillies | 71c | 30,767$21,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,779.21 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Athletics | 37c | 29,361$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 67c | 25,212$16,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,441.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Phillies | 76c | 8,121$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.25 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 32c | 7,377$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.85 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…5739backed Athletics | 25c | 7,231$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 22c | 6,302$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.01 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 64c | 5,168$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.75 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 65c | 3,409$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.15 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Phillies | 67c | 2,771$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.29 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Phillies | 73c | 2,749$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.33 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Athletics | 30c | 2,740$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.09 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Phillies | 78c | 2,653$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.16 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…a6c9backed Athletics | 34c | 2,300$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Phillies | 64c | 2,011$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.96 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Athletics | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Phillies | 72c | 1,954$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.73 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Athletics | 34c | 1,900$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.86 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…fc2abacked Phillies | 76c | 1,718$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Phillies | 79c | 1,510$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.76 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Athletics | 7c | 1,450$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Athletics | 36c | 1,212$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…5a68backed Phillies | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…fbfdbacked Phillies | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Phillies | 73c | 1,027$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.42 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Phillies | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Athletics | 2c | 980.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Athletics | 34c | 895.06$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.32 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Athletics | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 77c | 775.59$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.59 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 64c | 705$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 73c | 680.06$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.92 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 27c | 646.43$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Athletics | 29c | 641.94$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 12c | 510.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Athletics | 26c | 500$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Phillies | 75c | 485.56$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Phillies | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Athletics | 7c | 410.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Phillies | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Athletics | 33c | 360.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Athletics | 19c | 336.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Phillies | 77c | 335.9$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Athletics | 31c | 319$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Phillies | 71c | 308.45$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…286bbacked Phillies | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Phillies | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Athletics | 35c | 286.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 73c | 272.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…786ebacked Phillies | 74c | 265.58$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…7fa3backed Phillies | 75c | 265.12$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Athletics | 22c | 250$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Athletics | 6c | 245$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Phillies | 78c | 241.67$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Phillies | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…70eabacked Athletics | 18c | 238.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 64c | 234.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…3bcabacked Athletics | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Athletics | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…cf9cbacked Athletics | 29c | 190.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Phillies | 72c | 186.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Phillies | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Athletics | 21c | 136.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Phillies | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Phillies | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…a5fbbacked Phillies | 67c | 118.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 35c | 109.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Phillies | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Athletics | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Athletics | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 67c | 93.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…5c14backed Phillies | 75c | 93.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Athletics | 34c | 88.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Phillies | 66c | 87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Phillies | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 27c | 85.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Phillies | 72c | 72.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…a16abacked Phillies | 65c | 72.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Athletics | 26c | 66.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 71c | 62.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Athletics | 36c | 58.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Athletics | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics | 34c | 56.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Athletics | 26c | 55.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Phillies | 74c | 51.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…3f7ebacked Athletics | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Athletics | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Phillies | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Phillies | 66c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Phillies | 77c | 40.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Athletics | 31c | 40.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Phillies | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Phillies | 71c | 37.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Phillies | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.