TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Ankle" during the New Zealand vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,164 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes25c359.65$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.7748961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No53c270.96$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9976445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…9e5fbacked No63c200$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.186269.4%43 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4335958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.217249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.823357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No75c55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2545736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc5e…7761backed Yes37c51.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.74136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.262,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3721063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No75c45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7511038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b25…ff39backed Yes37c33.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.165837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c1…97eabacked No55c32.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.883141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16b0…acdebacked Yes37c32.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.174731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No76c26.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.821850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed No75c14.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9819742.6%84 W · 113 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.