Will the announcers say "History" during the New Zealand vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba5b8bf685ba818ae916221ba94b638992d26b0ab945dcddba7496727ecbb262

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,518 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed No	26c	6,339$1,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,636.93	489	61.3%300 W · 189 L	+71.0wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb3b0…8501backed Yes	74c	1,000$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes	74c	1,000$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked Yes	74c	1,000$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c1…97eabacked Yes	74c	929.02$687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.55	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x83c6…243bbacked Yes	74c	435.3$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.18	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x428f…5d1bbacked Yes	74c	391.67$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.83	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No	33c	390$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.7	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0968…0165backed Yes	74c	348.61$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.64	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b25…ff39backed Yes	74c	323.39$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.08	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc5e…7761backed Yes	74c	301.15$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.3	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed Yes	74c	250$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	76c	247.49$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.72	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No	18c	205$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.9	210	63.3%133 W · 77 L	+27.4wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes	71c	200$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	359	58.5%210 W · 149 L	+13.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea8…9e5fbacked Yes	64c	200$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	62	69.4%43 W · 19 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	12c	179.89$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e09…3250backed Yes	64c	172$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.64	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	240	37.1%89 W · 151 L	-17.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No	36c	83.25$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.97	219	44.3%97 W · 122 L	-16.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Yes	63c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	149	53.7%80 W · 69 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	79c	45$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.45	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	33c	43.19$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	77c	40$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x983a…ca05backed No	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	37c	32$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6630…6ae9backed Yes	46c	28.25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.27	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-15.0wins	-0.13per pick	62cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes	78c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	218	50.9%111 W · 107 L	-29.6wins	-0.14per pick	65cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc972…dcd9backed Yes	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the announcers say "History" during the New Zealand vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event