TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Assist" during the New Zealand vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,690 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed No22c627.44$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9848961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes70c610$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9276445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No6c404.03$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.180225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b25…ff39backed No6c278.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.75837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0968…0165backed Yes72c229.7$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.323655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b0…acdebacked Yes72c222.48$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.294731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc5e…7761backed No6c208.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.534136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No28c186.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.517249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3924037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb57a…5cfcbacked Yes67c149.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.85757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes78c116.11$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5445736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes78c81$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8211038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes78c69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1813148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes55c59.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2735958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No45c59.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2721944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed No27c55.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511928.6%34 W · 85 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No36c53.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3418641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No33c51.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Yes69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.514953.7%80 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.59043.3%39 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b0…8501backed No36c40.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.514540%18 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.921063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes79c25.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.411748.7%57 W · 60 L-15.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.421850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes78c15.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.474965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.