Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. San Francisco Dons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd91ac2aba8cc70da4a29cf207cb2bb712698c9c3dff1ae80d2ad3d35e95e6fff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Loyola Marymount Lionsof Loyola Marymount Lions, San Francisco Dons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 60c | 7,538$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed San Francisco Dons | 38c | 5,125$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.46 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Francisco Dons | 39c | 1,929$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.27 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked San Francisco Dons | 22c | 1,500$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.49 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Dons | 28c | 1,488$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.17 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Francisco Dons | 77c | 1,348$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.06 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Dons | 43c | 1,229$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.07 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 23c | 978.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.26 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked San Francisco Dons | 36c | 968$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.32 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 66c | 942.76$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.24 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 62c | 701.36$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.1 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 27c | 647.2$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.27 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked San Francisco Dons | 5c | 419.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 58c | 418.59$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.51 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 61c | 395.09$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed San Francisco Dons | 32c | 312.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed San Francisco Dons | 54c | 238$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 61c | 231.92$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 73c | 207.77$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5086…5080backed San Francisco Dons | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 69c | 175.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked San Francisco Dons | 34c | 135.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Francisco Dons | 42c | 112.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked San Francisco Dons | 26c | 108.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…a613backed San Francisco Dons | 27c | 92.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked San Francisco Dons | 19c | 78.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked San Francisco Dons | 66c | 65.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed San Francisco Dons | 78c | 60.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 24c | 52.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…fc9ebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 22c | 50.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked San Francisco Dons | 51c | 48.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 61c | 38.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…a83bbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9c…4bb6backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 45c | 22.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked San Francisco Dons | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 62c | 17.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.