Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Glamorgan vs Warwickshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9734f0572656c97e5c4ee3ea897da0cf0daf9dbfd695c8076c7a69a12f3f127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Glamorganof Glamorgan, Warwickshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Glamorgan | 80c | 3,318$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.35 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Warwickshire | 30c | 2,401$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.33 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Glamorgan | 72c | 2,119$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.7 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Warwickshire | 22c | 2,025$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.3 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Glamorgan | 58c | 1,359$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Warwickshire | 20c | 1,189$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Warwickshire | 21c | 1,159$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.93 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Warwickshire | 35c | 1,026$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.08 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Warwickshire | 50c | 952.62$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.26 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Warwickshire | 25c | 788.36$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.57 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Glamorgan | 65c | 686.33$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.23 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Glamorgan | 59c | 645.97$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.84 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Warwickshire | 27c | 621.04$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.25 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Warwickshire | 24c | 600$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Glamorgan | 57c | 599$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.19 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Glamorgan | 76c | 590.85$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.89 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…ce29backed Warwickshire | 61c | 400$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 203 | 63.5%129 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warwickshire | 33c | 367.36$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.87 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Glamorgan | 59c | 355.45$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.45 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Warwickshire | 25c | 354.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…8279backed Glamorgan | 53c | 304.66$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Glamorgan | 63c | 276.29$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Glamorgan | 78c | 270.63$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Glamorgan | 58c | 258.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Warwickshire | 21c | 200.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Warwickshire | 24c | 171$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Glamorgan | 74c | 154.37$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Warwickshire | 30c | 142.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Warwickshire | 19c | 129.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Glamorgan | 51c | 107.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Warwickshire | 48c | 105.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Glamorgan | 52c | 97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Warwickshire | 52c | 95.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Glamorgan | 80c | 86.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Glamorgan | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Glamorgan | 70c | 82.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Glamorgan | 45c | 79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Warwickshire | 26c | 70.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Warwickshire | 21c | 70.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Warwickshire | 50c | 69.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Glamorgan | 59c | 67.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Glamorgan | 55c | 66.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Glamorgan | 76c | 63.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Warwickshire | 24c | 58.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Glamorgan | 46c | 50.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…c269backed Glamorgan | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 140 | 70.7%99 W · 41 L | +21.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Warwickshire | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Glamorgan | 50c | 37.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Warwickshire | 60c | 33.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Glamorgan | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Warwickshire | 48c | 31.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed Glamorgan | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Warwickshire | 38c | 29.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Warwickshire | 50c | 23.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed Glamorgan | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Glamorgan | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Warwickshire | 48c | 22.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked Glamorgan | 53c | 21.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Glamorgan | 67c | 17.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.