TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Raptors, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Raptors48c13,114$6,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,871.815056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa78f…3173backed Raptors42c2,380$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans59c2,267$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.3359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Pelicans55c2,035$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.598561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors42c2,020$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.61,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ac…ad05backed Pelicans58c1,763$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x229d…ff2dbacked Pelicans58c1,750$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans1c1,666$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.871,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Pelicans7c1,153$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8112841.4%53 W · 75 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Pelicans59c1,058$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.9619642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Pelicans58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5808043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Pelicans58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58016242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Raptors40c898.29$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.9629148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b5…975abacked Raptors40c870$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5222100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+382.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Raptors49c830$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.323548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5de…df2abacked Pelicans51c820$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.21540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe248…36b4backed Raptors42c715.64$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+60.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe3d…50f3backed Raptors42c704.5$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…5d8cbacked Raptors50c629.77$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.08742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e09…fd64backed Raptors43c607.74$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.412540%10 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Raptors42c515.08$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.751758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Raptors49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.25438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Raptors55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Raptors41c480$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.950047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6597…53b3backed Raptors48c478.72$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.932157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans28c461.16$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.661,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeff…edeabacked Raptors42c428.39$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+52.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Pelicans53c400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21011143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Pelicans50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Raptors51c369.62$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…4e95backed Raptors43c318.27$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.273751.4%19 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Raptors42c308.2$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7613857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bf…b25ebacked Raptors56c294.48$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.18955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Raptors41c291.78$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Pelicans12c277.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.292020%4 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+77.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans53c272.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.461,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f1…ab4fbacked Pelicans60c269.1$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Raptors49c268.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.181,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8580…4612backed Pelicans4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Raptors48c249.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13015234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36ed…6950backed Raptors42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.12842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x311e…dcd0backed Pelicans61c235.87$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…14e8backed Raptors41c235.85$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.15683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+75.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbec…5765backed Pelicans60c234.94$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Pelicans58c222$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7620245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb39c…9938backed Pelicans60c215.36$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pelicans54c213.43$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7629043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5911backed Raptors56c200.82$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.562556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Raptors50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012649.2%62 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Raptors42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11612154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans59c190$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1572341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Pelicans53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…1094backed Pelicans51c156.37$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.495865.5%38 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans57c150$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Pelicans57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.517846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a6…95d3backed Pelicans27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Pelicans51c135$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.559338.7%36 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+91.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Raptors42c127.07$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.719943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Raptors42c123.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9745251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Pelicans46c119.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.811235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Raptors42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0523646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a12…e9c0backed Raptors43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.286144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Raptors49c101.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1238132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Raptors39c100.01$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0158754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Raptors41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5930954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Pelicans57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5740448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf5…c7d5backed Raptors42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Pelicans58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5824549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Raptors41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5911952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Pelicans61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6125651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Raptors43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5723956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Raptors40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010051%51 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pelicans52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Raptors50c93.38$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3170951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd30b…cf54backed Pelicans59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5977…65a8backed Pelicans60c80.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.43580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…6715backed Pelicans60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-68.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pelicans52c79.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7899…ba87backed Raptors51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.434052.5%21 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec06…6b34backed Pelicans58c75.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-52.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb3d…fb97backed Pelicans60c70.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Raptors64c64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2722955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Raptors48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2817244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba1…74f4backed Raptors41c59.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.282556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b3…5fa4backed Raptors43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1410361.2%63 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x834e…634cbacked Pelicans61c57.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.181952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Raptors41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.524147.3%114 W · 127 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Pelicans47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.56768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0615…5c47backed Pelicans26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1313823.2%32 W · 106 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…4fa2backed Raptors42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ad…324abacked Raptors43c44.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4951…ec9bbacked Pelicans59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255658.9%33 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1976…0c71backed Raptors40c41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de9…280dbacked Raptors75c40.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.282657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…3216backed Pelicans50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Raptors54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.414542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaefa…b908backed Raptors40c39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2287…e5f7backed Raptors42c38.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e7…1bccbacked Pelicans58c38.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.