TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Winston-Salem Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miomir Kecmanovicof Sho Shimabukuro, Miomir Kecmanovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf377…4159backed Sho Shimabukuro30c12,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60017148%82 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Sho Shimabukuro14c10,096$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.293,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Sho Shimabukuro31c10,005$3,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.5566949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Sho Shimabukuro10c3,250$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.2136946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Sho Shimabukuro11c2,960$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.524,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Sho Shimabukuro11c2,644$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8470254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Sho Shimabukuro32c2,020$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.4270041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sho Shimabukuro14c1,804$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.958,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Sho Shimabukuro12c1,625$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4819041.6%79 W · 111 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Miomir Kecmanovic70c1,570$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.995076%38 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Miomir Kecmanovic68c1,495$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.43,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sho Shimabukuro18c1,375$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Sho Shimabukuro30c1,369$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.0632333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Sho Shimabukuro10c1,014$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10237044.3%164 W · 206 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca3…8b60backed Miomir Kecmanovic69c831.13$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Sho Shimabukuro30c729.98$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.9935938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Miomir Kecmanovic70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2912467.7%84 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Sho Shimabukuro17c654.34$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5328442.3%120 W · 164 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Sho Shimabukuro30c632.06$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.6217247.7%82 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Sho Shimabukuro19c609.66$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.754141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Miomir Kecmanovic70c590$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1772572%18 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Sho Shimabukuro30c583.97$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1925542%107 W · 148 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Miomir Kecmanovic70c570.62$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1929649.7%147 W · 149 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Miomir Kecmanovic73c516.16$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.724,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Miomir Kecmanovic71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14534047.6%162 W · 178 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Sho Shimabukuro31c490.4$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.842,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Sho Shimabukuro32c469$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6933235.2%117 W · 215 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ab…68b6backed Sho Shimabukuro11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011214.3%16 W · 96 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Sho Shimabukuro24c415.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014439.6%57 W · 87 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sho Shimabukuro34c414.31$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.166,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Miomir Kecmanovic64c405$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.812446.8%58 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Sho Shimabukuro12c325.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.518645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Sho Shimabukuro6c317$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6678838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sho Shimabukuro8c287.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.098,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Miomir Kecmanovic75c284.17$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.865,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Sho Shimabukuro29c248.28$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Miomir Kecmanovic68c243.62$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.831,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Sho Shimabukuro6c219.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1464837.5%243 W · 405 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x805f…54a4backed Miomir Kecmanovic73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.484153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Sho Shimabukuro24c200.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1627549.1%135 W · 140 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sho Shimabukuro34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8204…8fa3backed Sho Shimabukuro24c185.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.034030%12 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d8…da3bbacked Sho Shimabukuro26c154.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3627448.5%133 W · 141 L+24.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Miomir Kecmanovic70c150.83$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5647058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Sho Shimabukuro29c124.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2437238.2%142 W · 230 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Sho Shimabukuro31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…c501backed Sho Shimabukuro30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…b51bbacked Miomir Kecmanovic77c99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.212236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-48.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc25c…f6dfbacked Miomir Kecmanovic72c88.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.855145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Miomir Kecmanovic73c86.4$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.294,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d9…b1b1backed Sho Shimabukuro18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550736.1%183 W · 324 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Sho Shimabukuro24c81.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.331,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Miomir Kecmanovic77c79.01$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1730353.5%162 W · 141 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sho Shimabukuro14c72.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Miomir Kecmanovic69c69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.151353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Sho Shimabukuro24c67.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630931.1%96 W · 213 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8102…c618backed Miomir Kecmanovic70c67.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1412860.2%77 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Sho Shimabukuro31c63.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6130644.1%135 W · 171 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Sho Shimabukuro33c58.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0355347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Sho Shimabukuro26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1535039.4%138 W · 212 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Sho Shimabukuro35c50.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Sho Shimabukuro30c49.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Sho Shimabukuro30c46.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.015228.8%15 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57b4…da40backed Miomir Kecmanovic70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8634359.5%204 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Sho Shimabukuro30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210451%53 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Sho Shimabukuro31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.443952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3998…ec0dbacked Sho Shimabukuro31c37.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.561127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Miomir Kecmanovic73c34.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.221,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Miomir Kecmanovic79c33.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.022,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e0…585bbacked Miomir Kecmanovic74c33.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.459950.5%50 W · 49 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Sho Shimabukuro31c33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.232,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa678…dd59backed Miomir Kecmanovic70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5710855.6%60 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Miomir Kecmanovic69c24.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6818666.7%124 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf830…0454backed Miomir Kecmanovic68c20.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.598061.3%49 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Miomir Kecmanovic63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.482159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Miomir Kecmanovic66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.811056.4%62 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Miomir Kecmanovic71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.835357.2%202 W · 151 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Miomir Kecmanovic64c16.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.913,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…fc25backed Miomir Kecmanovic76c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5712661.1%77 W · 49 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bcd…c00fbacked Miomir Kecmanovic80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.512054.2%65 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.