Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Derbyshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc76f75e20b99681fe1c0d394772a8550807389649b104fe6f30ab2bf4bac21e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yorkshireof Yorkshire, Derbyshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yorkshire | 50c | 777.46$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.13 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yorkshire | 35c | 622.7$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.6 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Yorkshire | 6c | 608$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.44 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Derbyshire | 33c | 566.64$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yorkshire | 41c | 379$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.38 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yorkshire | 29c | 314.21$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.24 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yorkshire | 60c | 276$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Derbyshire | 40c | 275.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Derbyshire | 37c | 214.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yorkshire | 22c | 185.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…50fcbacked Yorkshire | 26c | 177.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yorkshire | 26c | 167.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Derbyshire | 55c | 161.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Derbyshire | 48c | 110.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8379…641fbacked Derbyshire | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Derbyshire | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Derbyshire | 59c | 95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Yorkshire | 36c | 76.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 39cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…e91fbacked Derbyshire | 37c | 69.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…d609backed Derbyshire | 52c | 57.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…d3dfbacked Yorkshire | 38c | 52.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147f…5f7bbacked Derbyshire | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yorkshire | 62c | 46.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yorkshire | 54c | 44.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yorkshire | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Derbyshire | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae4…b563backed Derbyshire | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Yorkshire | 64c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Derbyshire | 68c | 28.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Derbyshire | 48c | 23.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yorkshire | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yorkshire | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yorkshire | 55c | 18.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yorkshire | 58c | 17.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.