Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 1 Iraq?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc82e8188d679548b65bbd7e442833aeca6646ade2c2ed6fb5c0a745d74bbab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 24,716$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 9c | 5,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…685bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,215$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.31 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,171$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.94 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,642$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 10c | 2,424$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.55 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaef…c642backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 9c | 2,142$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…ffc9backed Yes | 4c | 1,894$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,399$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,232$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 1,134$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 9c | 1,047$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 8c | 999.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 752.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…f46dbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…7633backed Yes | 9c | 666.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Yes | 9c | 662.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 8c | 550$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 6c | 409$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 5c | 385$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…630dbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 22.2%28 W · 98 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 8c | 249$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 9c | 236$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 281 | 27.8%78 W · 203 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a76…8490backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6b17backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…48b1backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 336 | 41.7%140 W · 196 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…74fdbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 28.4%77 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…0145backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 10c | 208$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 16.2%23 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac78…a7b7backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…ad83backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef6…b8e3backed Yes | 9c | 188.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…2338backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 9c | 163$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…f98bbacked Yes | 9c | 152.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…82f3backed Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 9c | 125.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…2ccbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 9c | 120.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…7e5dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 304 | 32.6%99 W · 205 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…7293backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…9fbbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…c4a9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fc…9c22backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 12cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 1 Iraq?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 0 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 1 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 2 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 0 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 1 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 2 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 3 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 0 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 2 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 3 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 0 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 1 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 2 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 3 Iraq?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.