Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 1 Iraq?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dd70f9d0241e1bdf7c12273c075fb1c59746ab10e7b7d7c93d102e4d58e6cb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 27,120$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 3c | 7,582$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaef…c642backed Yes | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d57…9d36backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,916$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 9c | 2,142$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,885$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.77 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,732$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,290$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…aecdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,061$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 9c | 817.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 713.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…ffc9backed Yes | 3c | 680$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 6c | 674.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…01cbbacked Yes | 9c | 644.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…b6ebbacked Yes | 8c | 590$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 8c | 541.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a8…a003backed Yes | 9c | 535.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 71 | 18.3%13 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 8c | 455.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 8c | 409$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…c734backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 12.3%10 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 4c | 351.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a9…0e2fbacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 5c | 258$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 16.2%23 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6b17backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…264bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 294 | 28.9%85 W · 209 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…48b1backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 336 | 41.7%140 W · 196 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 9c | 220$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac78…a7b7backed Yes | 9c | 211.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a21…e859backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 8c | 196.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0be3backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad1…a7babacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…3bb6backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe798…3ef9backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…b7cabacked Yes | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 8c | 144$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b7…b0b3backed Yes | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…131ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…2efcbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…1b2fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 37.6%74 W · 123 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f9…59edbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a1…63aebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…9fbbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d76…196fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…c699backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…bc89backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 9.2%14 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…9fc0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc38c…ef7fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 1 Iraq?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 0 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 1 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 2 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 0 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 1 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 2 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 3 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 0 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 1 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 2 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 2 - 3 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 0 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 2 Iraq?No won
- Exact Score: Senegal 3 - 3 Iraq?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.